Archive for July, 2010
Caution has characterized the session Monday on U.S. markets. As we enter the ball of the first quarterly results, including Alcoa's after-hours trade, the U.S. markets have closed up slightly. The Dow Jones gained 0.18% to 10,216 points, the Nasdaq ahead by 0.09% to 2198 points and the S & P 500 rose 0.07% to 1079 points. Friday, Wall Street closed higher in very small volumes before the opening of the quarterly earnings season.
The euro under $ 1.26
On the foreign exchange market, the euro has further retreated from Monday to below $ 1.26, on a foreign exchange market characterized by a weaker yen due to the electoral defeat of the ruling party in Japan and Pending results of the first companies in the United States.In the eurozone, the key event of the week will be put on the market for Treasury bills Greek tomorrow, the first since the announcement of the bailout of the European Union and the IMF in May
The week will be rich in promises of economic indicators in North America. In addition to the cascade of results expected in the coming days, markets will look especially to the publication of the minutes of the last meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee of the Federal Reserve on Wednesday.They will look particularly at whether the Fed fears that the crisis of sovereign debt in Europe weigh on U.S. growth.
The ball starts quarterly results
In the absence of major macroeconomic publications on Monday, the market should focus on the first quarterly results announcements in the United States.
As always, the kick the ball in quarterly results, was given by the aluminum giant Alcoa (-0.64% to 10.87 dollars) on Monday after closing. Follow in the week the Google technology groups (2.35% to 478.48 dollars), AMD (2.89% to 7.55 dollars) or Intel (1.31% to 20.51 dollars), and JPMorganChase Bank (0.41% to 39.01 dollars) and Bank of America (-0.07% to 15.10 dollars).The figures will be scrutinized with JPMorgan special attention because many investors believe that it is the financial will signal a rebound in real markets.
BP blazes in London and New York
In addition, shares of BP, listed on the NYSE move up sharply to 4:20 p.m. amid speculation about possible asset sales of oil still struggling against the tide nore in the Gulf of Mexico. Like primary listing in London, where the title to earn 8.90% 397.25 pence, the action of BP climbed 5.64% to 35.97 dollars in the U.S. market increased from 0, 06%.
After the government advertisement To reduce the funds allocated to several departments, Jean-Louis Borloo has described some of the measures envisaged to his ministry, according to Les Echos published on Friday. The Department of Ecology and Sustainable Development is indeed an important concern to put on a diet of government: it gives rise to tax benefits more expensive for the state (15 billion euros after Les Echos) that it would reduce to 8.5 to 10 billion euros. Moreover, these measures increase of 800 million euros annually.
In all, nearly two billion euros would be saved by 2012, including one billion on niches "green" these tax benefits related to work "green".Jean-Louis Borloo has raised the deduction available to individuals who install photovoltaic panels on the roof of their home loans pay day. The shortfall for the State is estimated at 800 million euros. It could therefore be reduced by at least 50% reserved for existing homes.
The list of works "green" that give rise to tax benefits could also be reduced. The tax cuts themselves could also decrease by 10%. As for renovations "non-green", they could lose their advantage of a VAT at 5.5%.
Finally, the government also calls into question his support for biofuels. They enjoy a double benefit: a reduced fee and the requirement for all distributors to offer for sale.
After a year and a half after its establishment by the Minister Herve Nvelli SMEs, the results of self-contractor status is not all rosy. Apparently, the new regime seems to be a success. Since January 1, 2009, more than 500,000 people have created businesses under this scheme and, according to the Observatory of self-contractor, 85% of self-enterprises are still in business a year and a half after the creation of statute. Another favorable factor among 15% of enterprises out of the scheme, 8% have changed their business to another company status. Moreover, the Observatory notes that "self-entrepreneurship is an effective springboard since nearly one third of respondents would like to change its status in the short or medium term."And the average turnover is 830 euros per month among the 72% self-entrepreneurs who have sold or charged.
But upon closer inspection, the new status raises questions. The study teaches us that nearly one in ten self-contractor was forced to choose this status. In fact, some employees have opted for this scheme to keep their jobs. The creation of these self-enterprises thus substitutes contracts in CSD, even in temporary or permanent contracts. And for good reason, the statute represents a financial windfall for unscrupulous employers because the employers' costs will disappear.
However Observatory moderates this conclusion. François Hurel author of the report requested by Secretary of State for SMEs says that "self-entrepreneurship as a condition of employment by dishonest employers is fortunately very rarely practiced in reality.It must also be tackled as illegal and contrary to the spirit of the regime.
The Paris markets are taking a break on Wednesday after a strong upward meeting. At midterm, the CAC 40 was down 1.49% to 3372 points. But this decline was attenuated thereafter, the ACC back even balance around 15:30 at the opening of Wall Street. Investors were relieved after learning details of discounts debts zuro monarch in the area to be taken into account in the "stress tests".
Resistance testing of European banks do not include discount on German sovereign debt, said two banking sources told Reuters, adding that French loans could eventually be delisted, but very limited. It is otherwise sovereign debt of Portugal, Italy, Spain, Greece and Ireland, some of which will undergo a double-digit discount."We had to find a way to take into account the sovereign risk. It is a lesser evil to the extent that the market is really scary is the risk of default, "commented Alex Koagne, analyst at Natixis Securities. "The double-digit discounts for PIIGS (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece and Spain), it is not very impressive. Greek debt is already dealing with a discount of about 20% of the market, "he added.
Tuesday, in a very quiet market, the indexes have climbed throughout the day to reach a closing up 2.73% over 3400 points. A rebound reflecting the high volatility of recent weeks: Monday again, the CAC 40 was approaching its lowest level this year.
Elsewhere in Europe, even movement.The Frankfurt Stock Exchange evolves decline of 1.27% to 5865.20 points while the FTSE index down 1.26% to 4902.70 points.
On Wednesday, investors in Paris after their Asian counterparts who chose to take profits. For its reopening after a weekend of three days, Wall Street gave no signal, calling instead for caution with a fence unconvincing in the green.
In terms of indicators, the trade deficit of France has risen sharply to 5.5 billion euros in May from 4.258 the previous month due to a decline in exports, according to data released by Customs. Economists had expected on average a deficit of 4 billion euros.
Also note that according to a recent estimate of the European office of statistics Eurostat, euro zone economy grew 0.2% in the soft first quarter.
Moreover, the German industrial orders fell for the first time this year in May, 0.5% from the previous month, according to figures released Thursday by the Ministry of Economy. Economists interogés by Reuters on average expected a rise of 0.5%.
The car in the viewfinder
As for values, the auto sector should move on Wednesday. Peugeot has announced an increase in worldwide sales of 16.9% in the first half. The title of the group climbed 0.14% to 21.60 euros.Furthermore, Peugeot would invest 700 million euros to resume production project in India, reports the Wall Street Journal.
For his part, Renault (-0.34% to 31.02 euros) which must publish its results tomorrow, Thursday trading.
Sodexo (-0.80% to 47.22 euros) released before the market turnover with 11.54 million euros in the first nine months of the year. The group is an organic growth of its turnover for the full year 2009-2010 of about 2% and hope to achieve an operating profit of between 780 and 800 million euros excluding currency effects the exercise.
Meetic (-0.99% to 19.90 euros) announced Wednesday to build on an EBITDA margin of between 20 and 25% for 2010, unchanged from its 2009 goal.The leading European dating sites also said that synergies from the integration of Match.com, the first since last June, should reach 10 to 15 million euros in the first year.
Atos Origin (-1.34% to 32.33 euros) announced Tuesday the launch of new services known as "smart mobility". The services company led by Thierry Breton makes 850 million euros in turnover in the field of electronic transactions and placed on the strong growth in use on smartphones.
But positive on Monday for Carrefour! Around 16:30, the action of the distribution group showed the highest increase in ACC 40: 2.94% to 33.08 euros in a market which lost 0.23%. Rival Casino gaining 1.45% to 62.91 euros.
The action is primarily supported by a first good news: Deutsche Bank has increased the purchase on Carrefour after recommending to keep it.
Furthermore, although the information has not yet been confirmed by Carrefour does not wish to comment, the group would begin selling its operations in Thailand (550 million euros turnover in 2009 ), Malaysia (300 million euros of turnover) and Singapore (80 million euros of turnover), according to Reuters."I would not reconsider our position on a number of emerging markets where the potential is not important," said Lars Olofsson, Executive Director of Carrefour, Le Figaro last January. These transfers could bring him some 800 million euros.
"Carrefour has too dispersed"
"These operations will confirm Carrefour to focus on China (3.5 billion euros in turnover in the first quarter of 2010, Ed), Taiwan (1.3 billion euros of turnover) or Indonesia (800 million euros of turnover), "said an analyst of CM-CIC Securities specialist value. He added: "These markets like Mexico, Chile, Japan, South Korea or Switzerland, which Carrefour has withdrawn, were either uninteresting or markets where the group has rapidly exceeded by its competitors. Carrefour was too dispersed.
Carrefour has been working with Goldman Sachs and UBS on the transaction that could sucsciter interest of private equity investment, according to the evolution of debt markets and mergers and acquisitions, or other distributors within Asia, as Tesco and Casino, according to the analyst.
Carrefour wants to "re-enchant the hyper"
More good news for the guys who did not wish to comment: As part of its "hyper-enchantment" Carrefour should delegate its rays to Virgin Music, the magazine Challenges. By outsourcing this department to a specialist, the group hopes to attract more young people into its stores. A first test will be done in the store Venissieux. And if successful, the contract could be extended to 238 Carrefour hypermarkets, and cover all rays non-food, whose sales have fallen 5% in 2009.
Friday, Carrefour officalisé restructuring its activities in Belgium. After months of negotiations, the group has signed a social agreement providing for the closure of sixteen stores deficit, while strengthening its partnership with Mestdagh. The reduction of labor costs Carrefour Belgium, it would save about 25 million euros per year. For the analyst of CM-CIC Securities, this restructuring plan is a "good news" because it will help give a boost to sales of the group in Belgium.
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Louis Welsh, president of EADS, is convinced. The decision of the World Trade Organization (WTO), said Wednesday that "illegal" certain EU subsidies paid to Airbus for the A380, "changes nothing" for the A350. "The support for the A350 are not iIn the" scope "(Field, Ed) of the panel that reviewed the complaint of Americans," said Louis Welsh Saturday. He added: "It was explicitly stated that although such aid is not in the" scope ", they were sentenced prior BLES, since the system of repayable advances itself is not contrary to the rules WTO.
Always on the fringes of economic meeting held in Aix-en-Provence, Louis Welsh, assured that Airbus would submit an offer in time with U.S. partners for the bulk tanker contract from the U.S. Air Force. "We have reached an agreement with 200 companies amricaines.The Pentagon must decide to fall on the mega-tanker contract enviton estimated at 35 billion dollars. Airbus and Boeing have until July 9 to finalize their proposals. A decision is expected next fall. "I think the nervousness that manifests Boeing in this case and the propaganda campaign that he led for three or four days shows qu'ls fear that we have a competitive bid on the tanker," said Louis Welsh. Ambiance, atmosphere …
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Like its American and Asian counterparts, and after a timid rebound on Wednesday the Paris Stock Exchange began the session this Thursday in sharp decline. The CAC 40, which has started on a decline of 1.63% to 3386.79 points, has rapidly accelerated its fall to yield more than 2%. Less than half an hour after the start of trade, the key index in Paris fell by 2.10% to 3370.45 points, before giving further 1.46% in mid-day at 3392.59 points.
The excitement is palpable. The loans outstanding of the European Central Bank to banks reached a record high Wednesday, above the threshold of 900 billion euros, while financial institutions must reimburse to the ECB on Thursday of 442 billion euros funds a year. A true test, highly anticipated by the markets.We'll know if banks are able or not to repay their loans.
It has also learned that the banks have borrowed 111.2 billion euros in six days with the European Central Bank (ECB) as part of a special operation that indicate a withdrawal of money market funds. What is not reassuring, as this could lead to higher interbank interest rates.
The loans outstanding of the European Central Bank to banks reached a record high Wednesday, above the threshold of 900 billion euros, while financial institutions must reimburse the ECB on Thursday of 442 billion euros of funds one year. The threat of Moody's notes the degrade of Spain crystallize attention throughout the day. The U.S. credit rating agency put the sovereign rating of Spain under surveillance.Moody's points to weak growth prospects of its economy.
Moreover, the adoption in the United States House of Representatives by the financial sector reform, discussed for months, will attract the attention of investors. The new legislation will include Washington's financial institutions restructure in bankruptcy, for failing to conduct further rescue operations financed by the state. The powers of the Federal Reserve (Fed) are expanded, a monitoring of the sector is expected and will give consumers more protection.
Hedge funds and rating agencies will be subject to more stringent regulations.The text must be approved by the Senate next week before being signed by Barack Obama.
In terms of statistics, INSEE announced this morning that producer prices remained stable in France in May after rising 1.0% in April, but they recorded an increase of 4.3% over year.
Moreover, in the euro area, the manufacturing sector recorded in June the slowest growth in four months. PMI final Markit purchasing managers stood at 55.6 in June In France, the PMI fell to 55.8, its lowest level since December 2009. In Germany, it remained stable at 58.4.
Overseas, the jobless claims will be released at 16 hours and the promise of home sales and the ISM index of manufacturing activity.Indicators highly anticipated before the release this Friday of U.S. employment figures.
The car in the viewfinder
In terms of corporate value is not in the green in the morning.
EADS shares (-2.34% to 16.47 euros) will be particularly followed. Indeed, the WTO has imposed a setback scathing EU ordering him to remove certain export subsidies provided to Airbus. The Union will appeal the decision of the World. Financial details have not been disclosed. Boeing believes that the pan-European aircraft manufacturer must pay back $ 4 billion of undue subsidies. But the WTO has put forward any figures, it will be difficult to see clearly the consequences of the decision of the international organization.
Moreover, the numbers of registrations in France will be unveiled on Thursday at noon.They finally fell 1.2% in June. In addition, the phasing of the scrappage scheme does not allow a glimpse of the market recovery in the immediate future. Renault (-2.27% to 30.08 euros) would be the big winner in first quarter sales thanks to its built by Dacia Sandero. Peugeot was down 2.42% to 20.55 euros, while Michelin loose 1.97% to 56.59 euros.
Out CAC40, Faurecia (-1.66% to 13 euros) has unveiled the acquisition of 18.75% of the Chinese automotive Xujang Group, where he became the strategic shareholder.
Bank stocks should also once again hold the attention of investors with the repayment of a loan of 442 billion euros on Thursday. A year ago, in 1121 established banks in the euro zone had borrowed over 442 billion euros at the ECB at a fixed rate of 1%, a record in the history of European monetary institution on a single transaction.Credit Agricole lost 3.09% to 8.36 euros. It is followed by BNP Paribas (-1.85% to 43.940 euros) and Societe Generale (-1.55% to 33.770 euros).
The Société Générale will be more monitoring than the AMF (AMF), Wednesday imposed a fine of 100,000 euros to Jean-Pierre Mustier, former head of market activities of Societe Generale for failing to initiated.Conversely, Natixis has been exonerated by the AMF following an investigation into his financial disclosure.
Shareholders will also be sensitive to the decision of Saint Gobain (-0.70% to 30.680 euros) to repay 72.1% of the 2009 dividend in shares to allow the group to consolidate its equity by 368 million euros.
In addition, the Sanofi-Aventis (-1.95% to 48.565 euros) may react to the decision of the U.S. Food to MultEQ, an arrhythmia drug cons of the French group on the quarterly list of audits.
France Telecom (-0.95% to 14.150 euros) will also be under the spotlight. The operator presents its new internal business plan