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At 14:30, all financial markets will have their eyes riveted on the United States. It was at that time that the unemployment figures across the Atlantic for the month of August will be published. Given the caution with which the New York markets were closed Thursday and Europe, uncertainty should persist until Friday the publication of these figures. In the middle of meeting, the CAC 40 rose 0.76% to 3659 points. At the London Stock Exchange, the FTSE-100 advance from 0.52% to 5399.14 points, and the German DAX 30, the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, rose 0.44% to 6110.88 points.
"It does not happen much on the markets, who are eagerly awaiting the unemployment figures of the United States, says it in the rooms. Is a very important day. Nobody wants to get new paris before this indicator. Investors prefer to wait and see what is the recovery. "He added: "If figures are bad, I think markets will fall heavily and not only Friday, but next week. '
Services: slowdown in France, rising in Germany
Despite a slight decline as unexpected new listings weekly unemployment across the Atlantic on Thursday, the Labor Department is expected to announce this afternoon an increase in unemployment to 9.6%."The GDP is not growing fast enough to create hundreds of thousands of new jobs needed each month to reduce employment at its level before the crisis," said Christina Romer Thursday, who will leave at the end of the week his position as economic advisor of President Barack Obama.
Also across the Atlantic in 16 hours, the ISM index of activity in services for the month of August and a speech from Fed chairman in Atlanta, Dennis Lockhart on current economic conditions are also scheduled .
For the euro area, growth in services in France recorded a slight decline. Whereas 59.9, the PMI stood at 60.4 against 61.1 in July. In contrast, in Germany, he cons 57.2 56.5 in July. Although below expectations (58.5), it evolves to its highest level since August 2007.
Retail sales in the sixteen countries that have adopted the single currency rose 0.1% from June and 1.1% over one year. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast an average increase of 0.2% a month to month and 0.6% a year.
The meeting was much calmer on the microeconomic front, in the absence of publications, the wave of results for this quarter coming to an end the Paris Bourse.
GDF Suez Stock doped by a partnership
The Director General of the operator, France Telecom, Stéphane Richard, told Reuters on Thursday on the sidelines of the MEDEF Summer University he was confident in the outcome of discussions with Canal + on the fusion of strings Orange Cinema Series TV and TPS Star. It will also try to convince the government not to raise VAT on offers "triple play".France Telecom gained 0.25% on the stock market to 16.18 euros.
GDF Suez (2.09% to 26.75 euros) has signed a partnership with the Brazilian Eletrobras to develop transportation projects and energy production in Central and South America, and Africa.The two groups do not preclude joint ventures.
Air France-KLM (+0.27% to 10.96 euros) plans to create a structure "low cost" for medium-haul routes, especially from Orly to the province to counter the offensive of the British company at bottom EasyJet costs.
The Slovak government has decided to retire to a consortium led by Bouygues (-0.28% to 32.32 euros) a road construction project of $ 3.3 billion through a public-private partnership announced Thursday Slovak Minister of Transport, Jan Figel.
Venezuela will pay approximately $ 600 million (468 million euros) Casino (+0.20% at 66.20 euros) and other shareholders of the supermarket chain Exito nationalized in January said Thursday President Hugo Chavez.
Vinci (+1.05% at 37.14 euros) Thursday announced the acquisition by its subsidiary of Vinci Park UK Meteor Parking which achieves annual turnover of approximately 50 million pounds (60 million euros ), allowing it to become number four in the sector in the United Kingdom.
LVMH (0.81% to 97.25 euros) a court decision is expected this Friday on an appeal by eBay, convicted in 2008 for dissemination and distribution of counterfeit perfume off approved.
Pernod-Ricard still in the red
On the side of the steepest declines, we find Sanofi-Aventis, still in talks to buy the company Genzyme bio technologies. The value is 0.54% to 46.63 euros, after losing 0.53% on Thursday. Pernod-Ricard continues in the red after the publication Thursday of disappointing results.After having yielded 2.37% on Thursday, back down 1.68% to 60.22 euros on Friday.
Ipsen (+0.26% at 27.27 euros) has signed an agreement with the Swiss pharmaceutical company Santhera Pharmaceuticals. The laboratory has received a license to market the fipamezole, a drug that helps relieve the symptoms of this disease in the world, except Japan and North America.
Nothing like that to go talk with the best of the class to get some good ideas. On Tuesday, French Budget Minister Francois Baroin went to Berlin to meet Wolfgang Schäuble, the German finance minister, but Otto Fricke, a spokesman on budgetary matters of the FDP, the party with which the CDU and CSU have formed a coalition. Up for discussion: the prospects for public finances, the convergence of tax systems and the EU budget.
"A very good news for France"
To say that the budgetary comparison is not in favor of France. So that France should post a deficit in 2010 of 8% of GDP, Germany could be below the 4.5% forecast until now. The German public finances are benefiting from the strong economic recovery.For now, the government of Angela Merkel sticks to hard line: any additional revenue related to growth must not be redistributed as tax cuts, but must be used to reduce the deficit. "There is a consensus in German society about deficit reduction, welcomed Baroin.
One way to be disappointed that this is not the case in France, while the government has decided to be as strict on the surplus revenue? In any case, Baroin wished to emphasize that the dynamism of Germany "is also a very good news for France, because it is our first partner." But no question of imitating unrestrained economic model Germanic."We, we focused our policy on power purchase them on the productivity gains through wage moderation," said the Minister.
Despite their differences, both countries are working to converge their taxes. The site was launched in July by Nicolas Sarkozy, Wolfgang Schäuble when was attending a Council of Ministers in Paris. By late September, the Court of Auditors will issue a preliminary report on the subject. His conclusions will inspire action that will be incorporated when considering the draft budget law to Parliament.
Fight together against the tax leakage
Regarding the tax system, harmonization would be quite happy for the French since Germany has removed the ISF. "But we must see if it is relevant," temperate Baroin.Indeed, both governments are working primarily on other taxes: the ecological tax, VAT and corporation tax (IS). Paris and Berlin in particular want to fight together against the flight tax that allows the development of the Internet. The major manufacturing groups chose to localize their headquarters in a country of the Old Continent as low tax Ireland and arrange to channel all their European business.
In addition, French and German governments want to raise, at European level, the project to harmonize the basis of calculation of corporate tax (IS). Today, each country has different rules for determining taxable income, which confuses the issue.
Finally, Paris and Berlin will work hand in hand for the European budget does not slip.The Brussels Commission initially proposed that the budget of the European Union increased 4.9%. The European Council has succeeded in getting the increase is limited to 2.9%. To meet this objective, Baroin account in addition to the support of London.
Suez Environment, specializes in managing water and waste, has published results on Wednesday rose for the first half of 2010. The Group's turnover amounted to 6.59 billion euros, up 12.3% as reported (10.8% at constant exchange rates).
The gross operating income reached 1.042 Moreover billion, an increase of 9.6% as reported and 7.2% excluding currency effects. Net income group share stood at € 386m, up 121%, € 0.79 per share.
The group has raised its targets for the whole year: it expects a turnover higher than that of 2009 (which was $ 12.296 billion euros) of at least 7% at constant exchange rates, cons at least 5% expected in February.It also relies on a gross operating income up 9% minimum at constant exchange rates compared to 2009, against 8% minimum expected end of February.
Free cash flow increased during the semester 30% (excluding non-recurring items in 2009) to 457 million euros. The group hopes to reach over 700 million euros for the whole year. Operating cash flow amounted to 905 million euros, up 9.5%. "The cost optimization program, Compass 2 continues," said CEO Jean-Louis Chaussade in a statement.The group has increased its cash generation and maintains its goal of financial strength.
The CEO of Suez Environment also emphasizes that this semester is marked "by strengthening our strategic positions, including the acquisition of eight companies in the water in France and the finalization of the friendly takeover which Agbar allows Suez Environment to consolidate its bases in Spain and abroad. "
The turnover of the International segment is also in "strong increase" to a constant exchange of +21.9% (+19.9% organic growth) to a € 707m.
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"Suez Environnement wants to grow internationally
The CAC 40, which surpassed Monday night at the close of 3750 the bar points (3%), takes a breath of fresh air on Tuesday. At the opening, the index coward timidly 0.08% 3744.52 points. In London, the Footsie yields 0.47% to 5371.92 points.
Yesterday, the Paris Bourse has been drawn up by the bank after the better than expected quarterly BNP Paribas. The Paris market should not stop there, according to technical analysis, which brings the index to the assault of 3770 points.
The Paris Bourse is expected to remain broadly in an uptrend on the sessions to come, even if the index corrects a bit on Tuesday.
The program of the Tuesday meeting, noted that prices for industrial production for June in the eurozone will be published at 11:00.American side, the expected numbers today should facilitate the session, including spending at 14.30 and household income, and 16 hours, industrial orders in July and promises of housing sales in June
Meanwhile, the euro remains at its highest in three months against the dollar.The euro rose as optimism in Europe and at the same time, the dollar is falling while stock markets also rose overseas and the appetite for risk grows.
The eyes of Sanofi-Aventis Genzyme
Sanofi-Aventis (-0.56% to 45.15 euros) sent a letter referring to Genzyme's interest in the company, a source close to the deal, adding that the two companies were discussing the offer.
The chemicals group Arkema (4.77% to 36.65 euros, the biggest increase in score) on Tuesday said quarterly earnings improved sharply, saying it made "its best historical performance" since its IPO in 2006 . Quarterly profit was 119 million euros, against a loss of 114 million euros in the second quarter of 2009.Revenues soared 38% to 1.6 billion euros and gross operating profit (EBITDA) reached 241 million, against only 70 million a year earlier.
CNP Assurances (-1.3% to 15.9 euros) announced Monday that it bought back 65% stake in MFPPrévoyance, a subsidiary of MFP Services, a group of specialized mutual insurance officials. This stake will cost 86.5 million euros to the French insurer.
Vallourec (-1.84% to 75.78 euros, the largest decline CAC 40). Credit Suisse cut its rating to "neutral" to "underperform."
Arcelor Mittal has launched $ 2.5 billion of debt in three parts, according to IFR, a subsidiary of Thomson Reuters.
Yellow Pages (-1.4% to 8.48 euros). HSBC cut its rating to "overweight" to "neutral."
General Health (1.18% to 11.62 euros).The former manager of French private clinics and hospitals on Monday published a half-year revenue declined 4.7% to 1 billion euros, which also reported an increase of 8.8% in profit operating income, to 80.4 million.
In an interview with Le Figaro, Benoît Potier, Chairman and CEO of Air Liquide (-0.51% to 88.87 euros), says that the big industries have restructured and fully benefit from the recovery.
Eurazeo, owner of the chain of budget hotels B & B wants to sell its stake of 73%, raises interest. Candidates have until Monday to surrender to submit their bids firm, a transaction that may occur in the wake.
For the moment, there are four candidates. According to our information, this investment fund Carlyle, Bridgepoint, LBO France and PAI Partners. Starwood Capital could be added to this list at the last minute. Eurazeo, which had taken control of B & B in 2005 to approximately 380 million euros, expects the deals financed at the top of the range between 450 and 500 million euros.
With 227 hotels (187 in France, 35 Germany, 4 in Italy and one in Poland), B & B is a turnover of 200 million euros this year.
Confident for banks, Christine Lagarde prepares for the fall an action plan for large exporters French.
LE FIGARO. – You now receive your German counterpart, Wolfgang Schäuble, the Council of Ministers, while you were in March, criticized the German economic model …
Christine Lagarde. – First, the participation of Wolfgang Schäuble, the Council of Ministers is the first by a German minister. But what a powerful symbol of closeness is in fact very natural when you know that contacts are actually daily between France and Germany. It happens every week, I spoke at least twice to Wolfgang Schäuble to harmonize our positions. And the director of the French Treasury is in daily contact with his counterpart. I have not criticized the German model.I said: "From the perspective of European stability, we must all make efforts, setting the course as a priority of deficit reduction."
Germany is today a leading exporter. Should we be inspired?
The competitiveness of Germany is higher than ours, but France has real expertise in major infrastructure projects in energy, transport, water, meeting the needs of large emerging countries. We need better value.
How?
We were gone in 15 years more than 100,000 companies exporting to 90,000 just, and we regularly lose market share. It was therefore necessary to react.We did this by structural measures for firms, such as reform of the tax credit, research or business tax, and we also created in 2008, a specialized agency – Ubifrance – to support SMEs exports in 44 countries. The experiment was successful: between 2008 and 2010, activity doubled. So I decided, with Anne-Marie Idrac, increase next year's budget speech, more than 20%. It is a considerable effort since the same time, the budget for my department will decrease.
And the big contracts?
In this area, the recovery is taking shape but with a "kick 7.2 billion euros in the fourth quarter 2009 and 3.3 billion in the first quarter 2010 and 6.5 billion in the second quarter. Our goal is to make every effort to seize the opportunities offered by the booming market of large emerging countries.For this, we initiated a strategic dialogue in the spring with thirty large exporters, who were asked to reflect on what needs to be improved no faxing cash advance. We meet them again in the fall at Bercy to develop a plan of action.
Some tracks stand out there already?
Yes. It will inevitably revise our system of financing, taking greater account of the interests of strategic partnerships between French and foreign companies, and also establish more reciprocal anti-corruption standards, environmental, social … The last point could be the agenda of the G20 Finance.
To avoid that France republishes failure of Abu Dhabi on nuclear power, should we not also a better coordination of actors?
The loss of the contract for the plant is actually part of the warning signals. There is no compromise on quality and security, especially nuclear, but we must take greater account of customer needs, for example by developing medium-size reactors, such as TDD, from the cooperation with Areva and Mitsubishi. And also, probably, in increasing the business to co-ordinating bodies such as the Inter-Departmental Support International Contracts (CIAC).
On Friday, the European Central Bank will publish the results of stress tests of 91 European banks. What do you expect?
I am following as milk on the fire.But I am totally confident about the outcome of the French banks after the stress tests.
The taboo of the word "rigor" is definitely broken?
The word "rilance" I started, has been much ink. It does not reflect a wealth of government but the need, on one hand, to apply the principle of budgetary discipline in the process of spending and the other to continue to support the value creation and employment , which is needed in France, targeting innovation and investment.
You are reluctant to abolish eight declared the twenty-eight positions in your firm. Will you do?
First, there is no panic on board as some say. Departures are planned, because after three years of study can be exhausted or aspire to other horizons.I will follow instructions, as I always did it with a cabinet composed only of formal collaborators and I want to honor them, they are not unworthy. We will achieve our objectives in a timely manner.
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"Europe controls the strength of its banks
After the government advertisement To reduce the funds allocated to several departments, Jean-Louis Borloo has described some of the measures envisaged to his ministry, according to Les Echos published on Friday. The Department of Ecology and Sustainable Development is indeed an important concern to put on a diet of government: it gives rise to tax benefits more expensive for the state (15 billion euros after Les Echos) that it would reduce to 8.5 to 10 billion euros. Moreover, these measures increase of 800 million euros annually.
In all, nearly two billion euros would be saved by 2012, including one billion on niches "green" these tax benefits related to work "green".Jean-Louis Borloo has raised the deduction available to individuals who install photovoltaic panels on the roof of their home loans pay day. The shortfall for the State is estimated at 800 million euros. It could therefore be reduced by at least 50% reserved for existing homes.
The list of works "green" that give rise to tax benefits could also be reduced. The tax cuts themselves could also decrease by 10%. As for renovations "non-green", they could lose their advantage of a VAT at 5.5%.
Finally, the government also calls into question his support for biofuels. They enjoy a double benefit: a reduced fee and the requirement for all distributors to offer for sale.
Like its American and Asian counterparts, and after a timid rebound on Wednesday the Paris Stock Exchange began the session this Thursday in sharp decline. The CAC 40, which has started on a decline of 1.63% to 3386.79 points, has rapidly accelerated its fall to yield more than 2%. Less than half an hour after the start of trade, the key index in Paris fell by 2.10% to 3370.45 points, before giving further 1.46% in mid-day at 3392.59 points.
The excitement is palpable. The loans outstanding of the European Central Bank to banks reached a record high Wednesday, above the threshold of 900 billion euros, while financial institutions must reimburse to the ECB on Thursday of 442 billion euros funds a year. A true test, highly anticipated by the markets.We'll know if banks are able or not to repay their loans.
It has also learned that the banks have borrowed 111.2 billion euros in six days with the European Central Bank (ECB) as part of a special operation that indicate a withdrawal of money market funds. What is not reassuring, as this could lead to higher interbank interest rates.
The loans outstanding of the European Central Bank to banks reached a record high Wednesday, above the threshold of 900 billion euros, while financial institutions must reimburse the ECB on Thursday of 442 billion euros of funds one year. The threat of Moody's notes the degrade of Spain crystallize attention throughout the day. The U.S. credit rating agency put the sovereign rating of Spain under surveillance.Moody's points to weak growth prospects of its economy.
Moreover, the adoption in the United States House of Representatives by the financial sector reform, discussed for months, will attract the attention of investors. The new legislation will include Washington's financial institutions restructure in bankruptcy, for failing to conduct further rescue operations financed by the state. The powers of the Federal Reserve (Fed) are expanded, a monitoring of the sector is expected and will give consumers more protection.
Hedge funds and rating agencies will be subject to more stringent regulations.The text must be approved by the Senate next week before being signed by Barack Obama.
In terms of statistics, INSEE announced this morning that producer prices remained stable in France in May after rising 1.0% in April, but they recorded an increase of 4.3% over year.
Moreover, in the euro area, the manufacturing sector recorded in June the slowest growth in four months. PMI final Markit purchasing managers stood at 55.6 in June In France, the PMI fell to 55.8, its lowest level since December 2009. In Germany, it remained stable at 58.4.
Overseas, the jobless claims will be released at 16 hours and the promise of home sales and the ISM index of manufacturing activity.Indicators highly anticipated before the release this Friday of U.S. employment figures.
The car in the viewfinder
In terms of corporate value is not in the green in the morning.
EADS shares (-2.34% to 16.47 euros) will be particularly followed. Indeed, the WTO has imposed a setback scathing EU ordering him to remove certain export subsidies provided to Airbus. The Union will appeal the decision of the World. Financial details have not been disclosed. Boeing believes that the pan-European aircraft manufacturer must pay back $ 4 billion of undue subsidies. But the WTO has put forward any figures, it will be difficult to see clearly the consequences of the decision of the international organization.
Moreover, the numbers of registrations in France will be unveiled on Thursday at noon.They finally fell 1.2% in June. In addition, the phasing of the scrappage scheme does not allow a glimpse of the market recovery in the immediate future. Renault (-2.27% to 30.08 euros) would be the big winner in first quarter sales thanks to its built by Dacia Sandero. Peugeot was down 2.42% to 20.55 euros, while Michelin loose 1.97% to 56.59 euros.
Out CAC40, Faurecia (-1.66% to 13 euros) has unveiled the acquisition of 18.75% of the Chinese automotive Xujang Group, where he became the strategic shareholder.
Bank stocks should also once again hold the attention of investors with the repayment of a loan of 442 billion euros on Thursday. A year ago, in 1121 established banks in the euro zone had borrowed over 442 billion euros at the ECB at a fixed rate of 1%, a record in the history of European monetary institution on a single transaction.Credit Agricole lost 3.09% to 8.36 euros. It is followed by BNP Paribas (-1.85% to 43.940 euros) and Societe Generale (-1.55% to 33.770 euros).
The Société Générale will be more monitoring than the AMF (AMF), Wednesday imposed a fine of 100,000 euros to Jean-Pierre Mustier, former head of market activities of Societe Generale for failing to initiated.Conversely, Natixis has been exonerated by the AMF following an investigation into his financial disclosure.
Shareholders will also be sensitive to the decision of Saint Gobain (-0.70% to 30.680 euros) to repay 72.1% of the 2009 dividend in shares to allow the group to consolidate its equity by 368 million euros.
In addition, the Sanofi-Aventis (-1.95% to 48.565 euros) may react to the decision of the U.S. Food to MultEQ, an arrhythmia drug cons of the French group on the quarterly list of audits.
France Telecom (-0.95% to 14.150 euros) will also be under the spotlight. The operator presents its new internal business plan
The draft law reforming the consumer credit which was adopted in late April by the National Assembly must be considered in the Senate Monday on second reading. This text, which transposes into French law the European directive of 23 April 2008 aims to better encadrerla distribution of these credits, advertising and strengthens consumer information to avoid over-indebtedness. "This legislation, once passed, will provide a protective base for consumer credit," says Minister of Economy Christine Lagarde. guard, who hopes that the text be adopted as early as Monday, said her commitment to the Senate on a timetable for implementation "very accurate".
No less than 14 decrees and orders will be four needed for its implementation. Christine Lagarde, wants everyone to be published before the end of the year."I intend that all texts are published by the end of 2010 to ensure that all stakeholders are informed of the publication of texts and measures to implement," said the minister at a press conference. The entry into force of the texts will then be scheduled through May 2011.
Division on the register of credits
The minister promised to create, upon promulgation of the text, the Committee shall deliver foreshadowing, over the next 12 months, a report on the establishment of a national registry of credits, also called positive file. This file would identify all loans taken by the French and could be accessed for each request for new credit.Christine Lagarde has ensured that the committee was established following the enactment of the law shows that it is not "being in time to push for it (the positive file, ie) becomes the Arlesienne."
The principle of this file, however, continues to divide and most consumer groups will remain opposed, citing an infringement of individual liberties and the fear of use of information by credit institutions. .
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"Over-indebtedness: magistrates critical
The banks lend to smaller purchases
Tens of thousands of trade unionists yesterday converged toward the center of Rome at the invitation of the CGIL, the main federation of workers in Italy (5.5 million members).
Shouting "not only on our shoulders," they denounced the sacrifices imposed by the government of Silvio Berlusconi to reduce the public deficit from 5.3% to 3.9% next year and 2.7% of GDP 2012.
At a rally Piazza del Popolo, Guglielmo Epifani, Secretary General of the CGIL, reiterated that his organization was not opposed to a correction of the accounts of the state. "We reject this maneuver only made budget cuts without structural reforms or measures to support investment, particularly in public education and research," he told Le Figaro before the start of the event."Those who will pay for will mainly employees and the lowest incomes while wealth and annuities will not be affected."
Guglielmo Epifani also calls for a broad mobilization to invite the Parliament, which will begin consideration of the bill next week "to modify" cash advance till payday.
The CGIL has launched on June 25 a word of general strike of four hours in the private sector and the public 24 hours.
For its part, the Democratic Party (PD), the main opposition, has announced a rally against the plan "unfair" in Rome June 19 while magistrates, public sector doctors and world culture multiply protests.
The government plans to freeze wages and hiring in the civil service for two years and 10% reduction in the allocation of ministries and local authorities.No new taxes would be raised and the taxation of financial income would continue to benefit from a preferential rate, but a greater effort would be made against tax evasion.
For the Bank of Italy, the austerity plan could result in a reduction of O, 5% of GDP in 2011/2012 "as a result of compression of consumption and investment." Italy expects a growth of 1% this year and 1.5% in 2011.

