Experts estimate that 50 billion would be earned in three years due to reduced spending, and another 25 billion euros through a reduction of tax and social niches where the Government seeks a saving of 10 billion.

In addition to reforming the tax loopholes, the committee recommends the establishment of exceptional measures, to achieve 10 billion in savings.The experts say, including the freezing of the index point for staff and expanding the principle of non-replacement of staff on two retiring to local and social security. Furthermore, control of expenditure in public service should enable savings to 40 billion.

Consolidation of the tax system in order

In addition, the committee "does not advocate new taxes or raising rates, but a broader base of social and tax," said one member to Les Echos. Renowned economists aimed at reducing tax loopholes and particularly those adverse to the environment or dependent status.

Half-word, the committee recommended the end of the tax shield: the collective effort that is taking shape, "the Committee would like the contribution of the most favored is not diminished by the tax shield," Les Echos said, citing a Participants at the meeting.

And if growth is less than 2% on average, economists have advocated the introduction of targeted tax increases. An overhaul of the tax system together with a lower labor cost is considered in the medium term.

In Japan, investors have the prudence of their American counterparts. After opening down 0.10%, the Nikkei has widened its losses during the session (-0.58%) to finish on a decline of 0.68% to 9116.69 points. It is the lowest level of the year. The broader TOPIX, yielded 0.58% to 824.79 points. The vigor of the yen against the dollar is once again pointing the finger. Unsettled, exporters have sealed document.The semiconductor equipment supplier Tokyo Electron, the specialist digital cameras Canon and carmaker Honda Motor lost between 0.53% and 2.52%.

In China, stock markets are even more hesitant. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng was down 0.36% to 20,905 points while the Shanghai Composite gained 0.13% to 2645 points.

The Korean Kosdaq is at equilibrium (-0.02%), like the Indian Sensex (+0.06%) and the S & P Australia (-0.09%). In Australia, markets are disturbed by the results of parliamentary elections that failed to designate a clear winner.

Absence of major news, the market activity remains very calm. New major macroeconomic indicators are expected in mid-week in the U.S., particularly in the property sector and employment.

Oil climbs

Crude prices were up Monday in Asia on a flat market. In morning trading, a barrel of light sweet crude for October delivery gained 29 cents to 74.11 dollars, while that of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery increased by 21 cents to 74.47 dollars.

This increase ends three consecutive sessions of falling prices. But it remains fragile due to a strengthening dollar.

The success rate would be 89%. According to the study of the American bank, the banks are based in Spain, Germany and Greece, which should raise the more capital, adding that the source of these funds should be half public and half private.

The newspaper El Pais reported in its edition today that part of the 18 Spanish savings banks failed the test of resistance.To believe the consensus reached by Reuters, in Spain, only seven banks have passed the exam, including the largest as Banco Santander, BBVA, Banco Popular, and the "Cajas".

That success expected for French banks

In France, banks found – BNP Paribas, Societe Generale, Credit Agricole and BPCE (Natixis) – should all pass. The analysts and Christine Lagarde have confidence.

Full house expected also for the United Kingdom, examined on HSBC, Barclays, Royal Bank of Scotland and Lloyds Banking Group. In Ireland, Bank of Ireland and Allied Arish Banks also succeed in obtaining good results.Same as in Italy, with Intesa Sanpaolo, UniCredit and Banco Popolare including headlining.

In Germany, a handful of banks should be in a situation of failure, particularly those that are undergoing restructuring.

Failure: it will recapitalize

According to Goldman Sachs, European banks should raise an average total of 37.6 billion euros in fresh capital as a result of these stress tests, whose results are expected Friday at 6:00 p.m., after the close of European stock markets but in full session on Wall Street.

In search of capital, these banks 'risk' may first explore to their shareholders or to tap financial markets easy payday loans. If this is not enough, she can turn to state aid at the national level.Finally, as a last resort, they can "take advantage" of the famous European support plan put in place at the European Union and the International Monetary Fund.

Confidence in the results, distrust Performances

With a success rate approaching that expected of the baccalaureate, the question is what will truly value the conclusions of these stress tests. Experts warn that it would be better to consider the assumptions made when simulating a situation worsened.

"The information currently circulating in banks suggest that the stress test favors disclosure of a satisfactory result compared to a real and solid technical verification," says Pierre-Antoine Dusoulier in a forum.

These data suggest that in fact the test cases would be fairly "light" in particular in the field of defaults on sovereign debt. Assumptions of the macroeconomic developments would also be applied "without knowing it for the moment the link established by the test between GDP growth, unemployment and inflation."

In addition, past forecasts on macroeconomic parameters were simply struck by the actual conditions. In spring 2008, the European Commission expected a growth of 1.7% in 2008 and 1.5% in 2009 for the euro area. Real growth was 0.45% in 2008 and -4.1% in 2009.

Pass the exam stress test is a bit like having your bachelor's degree with an overall average just over 10/20. This is not the best conditions for its future.

In all, nearly two billion euros would be saved by 2012, including one billion on niches "green" these tax benefits related to work "green".Jean-Louis Borloo has raised the deduction available to individuals who install photovoltaic panels on the roof of their home loans pay day. The shortfall for the State is estimated at 800 million euros. It could therefore be reduced by at least 50% reserved for existing homes.

The list of works "green" that give rise to tax benefits could also be reduced. The tax cuts themselves could also decrease by 10%. As for renovations "non-green", they could lose their advantage of a VAT at 5.5%.

Finally, the government also calls into question his support for biofuels. They enjoy a double benefit: a reduced fee and the requirement for all distributors to offer for sale.

The excitement is palpable. The loans outstanding of the European Central Bank to banks reached a record high Wednesday, above the threshold of 900 billion euros, while financial institutions must reimburse to the ECB on Thursday of 442 billion euros funds a year. A true test, highly anticipated by the markets.We'll know if banks are able or not to repay their loans.

It has also learned that the banks have borrowed 111.2 billion euros in six days with the European Central Bank (ECB) as part of a special operation that indicate a withdrawal of money market funds. What is not reassuring, as this could lead to higher interbank interest rates.

The loans outstanding of the European Central Bank to banks reached a record high Wednesday, above the threshold of 900 billion euros, while financial institutions must reimburse the ECB on Thursday of 442 billion euros of funds one year. The threat of Moody's notes the degrade of Spain crystallize attention throughout the day. The U.S. credit rating agency put the sovereign rating of Spain under surveillance.Moody's points to weak growth prospects of its economy.

Moreover, the adoption in the United States House of Representatives by the financial sector reform, discussed for months, will attract the attention of investors. The new legislation will include Washington's financial institutions restructure in bankruptcy, for failing to conduct further rescue operations financed by the state. The powers of the Federal Reserve (Fed) are expanded, a monitoring of the sector is expected and will give consumers more protection.

Hedge funds and rating agencies will be subject to more stringent regulations.The text must be approved by the Senate next week before being signed by Barack Obama.

In terms of statistics, INSEE announced this morning that producer prices remained stable in France in May after rising 1.0% in April, but they recorded an increase of 4.3% over year.

Moreover, in the euro area, the manufacturing sector recorded in June the slowest growth in four months. PMI final Markit purchasing managers stood at 55.6 in June In France, the PMI fell to 55.8, its lowest level since December 2009. In Germany, it remained stable at 58.4.

Overseas, the jobless claims will be released at 16 hours and the promise of home sales and the ISM index of manufacturing activity.Indicators highly anticipated before the release this Friday of U.S. employment figures.

The car in the viewfinder

In terms of corporate value is not in the green in the morning.

EADS shares (-2.34% to 16.47 euros) will be particularly followed. Indeed, the WTO has imposed a setback scathing EU ordering him to remove certain export subsidies provided to Airbus. The Union will appeal the decision of the World. Financial details have not been disclosed. Boeing believes that the pan-European aircraft manufacturer must pay back $ 4 billion of undue subsidies. But the WTO has put forward any figures, it will be difficult to see clearly the consequences of the decision of the international organization.

Moreover, the numbers of registrations in France will be unveiled on Thursday at noon.They finally fell 1.2% in June. In addition, the phasing of the scrappage scheme does not allow a glimpse of the market recovery in the immediate future. Renault (-2.27% to 30.08 euros) would be the big winner in first quarter sales thanks to its built by Dacia Sandero. Peugeot was down 2.42% to 20.55 euros, while Michelin loose 1.97% to 56.59 euros.

Out CAC40, Faurecia (-1.66% to 13 euros) has unveiled the acquisition of 18.75% of the Chinese automotive Xujang Group, where he became the strategic shareholder.

Bank stocks should also once again hold the attention of investors with the repayment of a loan of 442 billion euros on Thursday. A year ago, in 1121 established banks in the euro zone had borrowed over 442 billion euros at the ECB at a fixed rate of 1%, a record in the history of European monetary institution on a single transaction.Credit Agricole lost 3.09% to 8.36 euros. It is followed by BNP Paribas (-1.85% to 43.940 euros) and Societe Generale (-1.55% to 33.770 euros).

The Société Générale will be more monitoring than the AMF (AMF), Wednesday imposed a fine of 100,000 euros to Jean-Pierre Mustier, former head of market activities of Societe Generale for failing to initiated.Conversely, Natixis has been exonerated by the AMF following an investigation into his financial disclosure.

Shareholders will also be sensitive to the decision of Saint Gobain (-0.70% to 30.680 euros) to repay 72.1% of the 2009 dividend in shares to allow the group to consolidate its equity by 368 million euros.

In addition, the Sanofi-Aventis (-1.95% to 48.565 euros) may react to the decision of the U.S. Food to MultEQ, an arrhythmia drug cons of the French group on the quarterly list of audits.

France Telecom (-0.95% to 14.150 euros) will also be under the spotlight. The operator presents its new internal business plan

No less than 14 decrees and orders will be four needed for its implementation. Christine Lagarde, wants everyone to be published before the end of the year."I intend that all texts are published by the end of 2010 to ensure that all stakeholders are informed of the publication of texts and measures to implement," said the minister at a press conference. The entry into force of the texts will then be scheduled through May 2011.

Division on the register of credits

The minister promised to create, upon promulgation of the text, the Committee shall deliver foreshadowing, over the next 12 months, a report on the establishment of a national registry of credits, also called positive file. This file would identify all loans taken by the French and could be accessed for each request for new credit.Christine Lagarde has ensured that the committee was established following the enactment of the law shows that it is not "being in time to push for it (the positive file, ie) becomes the Arlesienne."

The principle of this file, however, continues to divide and most consumer groups will remain opposed, citing an infringement of individual liberties and the fear of use of information by credit institutions. .

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Shouting "not only on our shoulders," they denounced the sacrifices imposed by the government of Silvio Berlusconi to reduce the public deficit from 5.3% to 3.9% next year and 2.7% of GDP 2012.

At a rally Piazza del Popolo, Guglielmo Epifani, Secretary General of the CGIL, reiterated that his organization was not opposed to a correction of the accounts of the state. "We reject this maneuver only made budget cuts without structural reforms or measures to support investment, particularly in public education and research," he told Le Figaro before the start of the event."Those who will pay for will mainly employees and the lowest incomes while wealth and annuities will not be affected."

Guglielmo Epifani also calls for a broad mobilization to invite the Parliament, which will begin consideration of the bill next week "to modify" cash advance till payday.

The CGIL has launched on June 25 a word of general strike of four hours in the private sector and the public 24 hours.

For its part, the Democratic Party (PD), the main opposition, has announced a rally against the plan "unfair" in Rome June 19 while magistrates, public sector doctors and world culture multiply protests.

The government plans to freeze wages and hiring in the civil service for two years and 10% reduction in the allocation of ministries and local authorities.No new taxes would be raised and the taxation of financial income would continue to benefit from a preferential rate, but a greater effort would be made against tax evasion.

For the Bank of Italy, the austerity plan could result in a reduction of O, 5% of GDP in 2011/2012 "as a result of compression of consumption and investment." Italy expects a growth of 1% this year and 1.5% in 2011.

New registrations rose 1.9% in April on a year in France, reaching 190,986 units, said Monday the Committee of French car manufacturers (CCFA). In March, they still leapt 17.9%, still boosted by the registrations of cars ordered in late 2009 to take advantage of the premium to 1,000 euros. This was reduced to 700 euros since 1 January, and will fall to 500 euros in the second half.

"We see here the impact of gradually reducing the premium breaks, there is some decline in the small car category, those who have benefited most from the device, and you know you will go into negative at the end of the year, "said a spokesman for the CCFA.

"Despite this, the ski manufacturers we also show that the level of orders for new models and for mid-size cars are holding up well, meaning that the market continues to resist despite the decline in aid."

Citroen sales down 8.3%

The major manufacturers all expect a decline in European car market this year, the second half of 2010 announcing the end more difficult with a comparison of premiums and increasingly unfavorable relative to the boom in late 2009. Renault has amounted to 10% expected decline while its major competitor PSA Peugeot Citro?n expects down 9% quick payday loan.

Last month had 21 days, provided that April 2009.Of the first four months of 2010, registrations in France reflected an increase of 12.9% to 785,706 units.

Sales of passenger cars Peugeotont group rose 7.3%, but those of the Citro?n stand down 8.6% on month, while Peugeot's registrations increased by 24.2%.

As for the Renault group, registrations were up 17.2% – an increase of 9% for the brand new diamond and jumped over 100% for Dacia (Logan, Sandero and Duster).

Improvements on commercial vehicles

French brands have still got their game well, with an increase of 8% against a decline of 4.9% for foreign brands. Among foreign automakers, Nissan (49.2%), General Motors Europe (+43.5%) and the BMW Group (+24.1%) recorded the most notable increases.The Volkswagen group (-20%), Fiat (-13.3%) and Ford (-12.8%) are in decline.

The improvement in the commercial market, particularly affected by the slowdown in economic exchanges, is also confirmed. The registrations of light commercial vehicles rose 32.2% last month, marking an acceleration from the 16.5% increase observed in March (+11.4% when adjusted for working days). In commercial vehicles over 5.1 tonnes, in turn, is down 9.4%, against 28.4% in March.

A challenge for the "cost killer" at Nissan, whose re-election as head of French carmaker should, except surprise, be endorsed. Five years after its accession to the presidency of the group, the economic conditions in 2010 should however be difficult.The scheduled shutdown of the scrappage scheme in particular, should not contribute to boost the profits of Renault.

To find the flexibility brought by the loan of 6 billion euros granted by the state earlier this year, Ghosn has also committed to the shareholders to repay that money more quickly than expected, it ie before the year 2014. "We will refund well before the deadline and we will refund if possible in concert with our friends at PSA," he said as well.

The manufacturer expects to have the freedom again to close and installing production units it wants to reduce its costs. One recalls the intervention of Nicolas Sarkozy to prevent the complete production of the Clio in Turkey …

It is well beyond what had been said, on March 11 last, the CEO of HSBC Private Bank, Alexander Zeller. The theft "committed by an employee of the department about three years ago, could affect some 15,000 customers," he declared at a news conference.Regarding the French, it is also far escaped the 3000 tax raised by Eric Woerth, budget minister last summer.

Return a long history

The French court before January 20, 2009 at the home of French Herve Falciani encrypted computer files containing a list of accounts held by customers of HSBC. The search was conducted as part of a request by Swiss judicial authorities, suspecting the employee of misappropriation of confidential data between 2006 and 2007.

But before passing to the Swiss – after a standoff of several months – French investigators have analyzed the content of these seizures, which have proved of great interest for justice and the French tax authorities.Prosecutors in Nice opened an investigation for money laundering and tax administration has used the data to identify suspected fraudsters Fast Cash Without a hassle.

The Battle of France

Shareholders who were illegally will pay for it keeps those who do not. Of the 6 billion euros of capital identified in the accounts in Switzerland, 700 million penalty in 2010 will be released. And 700 million euros will be refunded to taxpayers whose tax exceeds 50% of revenues.

In Italy, the method was different. Silvio Berlusconi has been voted an amnesty which showed 95 billion euros of capital and reported $ 6 billion in the Italian Treasury.

But the amnesty is not on the agenda in France. "Because the amnesty called fraud until the next amnesty," said Eric Woerth.

Italy on the alert

"Prosecutors in Turin we sent a request for mutual legal enforcement. He asked to get copies of the data we have captured, "said Eric de Montgolfier. According to the prosecutor, the Italian justice has opened an investigation for tax evasion.

The decoding of stolen files has revealed the names of 7,094 Italians.

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