The crisis has played a role in accelerating power for China. Faced with the slowdown in traditional engines of the planet are the U.S. and Japan, the People's Republic sees himself propelled to the rank of second largest economy, instead of his neighbor nippon, but still far behind the United States. "China is already the second biggest economy, has said over the weekend Yi Gang, director of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE), in charge of foreign exchange controls.
In an interview with the magazine China Reform and accepted by the site of the Safe, Responsible merely formalizes what everybody expected this year. The calculation is done quickly. In late 2009, the gross domestic product (GDP) of Japan 5070 billion was already closely followed by that of China, to 4980 billion.With an expected growth of 9.5% throughout the year and 11.1% in first half against less than 3% for its neighbor, the Middle Kingdom has probably exceeded that of the Rising Sun between April and June And this, ironically, even as the country tries to avoid overheating. Manufacturing production slowed further in July for the second straight month, thanks to measures limiting credit growth and real estate speculation.
The Chinese authorities do not brag with their new status as world's second largest economy, since many challenges remain before inevitably take the top spot in a couple of years, according to the World Bank. "The problem of China's economy is the quality of its growth.Why we must proceed with structural adjustment and transform our business model, "said Yi Gang, referring to the refrain that government consumption has to take over investment and exports as an engine of growth.
The gap will shrink
This ongoing concerns prompt the government to closely monitor all aspects of the economy, starting with the very sensitive political exchange. Referring to the convertibility of the yuan, Yi Gang made it clear that no timetable had been arrested. China becomes the heir of the world economy without having an international currency.
But Beijing is still more to paradoxes, mixing the issues of developing countries with those of a rich country. Imbalances continue to widen between rural and urban, rich and poor.Before he finished his economic metamorphosis, the Middle Kingdom is already old. Today, six active contributors per pensioner, they will be more than two in 2040.
In fifteen years, GDP per capita – U.S. $ 3,600 in 2009 – will probably still not caught up with its rivals, with $ 42,000 for the United States and 37,800 in Japan. But the gap is very narrow. Yi Gang expects Chinese growth between 7% and 8% in the decade ahead.
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