Nicolas Sarkozy has raised the question of how we can more directly Wednesday in his opening speech at the Davos Forum: what is "the role to be played by banks in the economy?" He should get an initial response today ' hui. The bosses of big banks, mainly American and European, will meet with key leaders of the global financial regulation to settle their quarrels.
"The first challenge is to define what should be the basic name of a bank, has publicly acknowledged on Friday Peter Sands, group CEO of Standard Chartered Bank UK, who also co-chairing the Forum 2010, alongside a colleague European Josef Ackermann, head of Deutsche Bank. The meeting will be informal: to probe the kidneys and hearts of some central bankers and regulators in Davos.Including Jean-Claude Trichet, the ECB president, Mario Draghi, Chairman Financial Stability (a creation of the G20), Jaime Caruana, director general of the Bank for International Settlements, Dominique Strauss-Kahn, director IMF, but also representatives of emerging countries, as Zhu Min, vice governor of the People's Bank of China.
In this case it is private financiers who are the plaintiffs. "A new regulation of financial institutions is inevitable, but a regulatory motivated populist policies would be ineffective and harmful," warns a professional who will participate in face-to-face fast payday loans . This fear is taken very seriously since Barack Obama presented his proposals to ban the operations of market equity for commercial banks.With also the possibility of dismantling settlements whose bankruptcy would present a systemic risk.
The Obama plan goes to school
However, these recommendations appear to be in school politics. David Cameron, leader of British Conservative Party, arrived Friday in Davos, it is stored too. In turn, the technical authorities do nothing to minimize the issue of reforms to come. As Jean-Claude Trichet, at a panel on public policy interventions: "On both sides of the Atlantic, governments have had to receive 25% of GDP in the form of guarantees, recapitalizations and buyouts of securities to prevent the collapse of the sector.It would not forgive us if the system does not become more resilient in the future. "
The delegation of bankers in which American Brian Moynihan (Bank of America) and the European Josef Ackermann appeared to play a leading role, is far from presenting a seamless front. Everyone agrees to request a "harmonization of national regulations" (a level playing field in the jargon), but without going to unify the laws of each place.
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Although there is no major publication of Monday, the growth of imports and Chinese exports significantly exceeded expectations in December, boosts the confidence of investors on Wall Street where the Dow is up 0.19% to 10,638.30 dollars and the Nasdaq 0.34% in 2323, $ 85.
Oil opened sharply higher in New York also boosted by the good figures of China and its growing interest in the black gold that has even reached a new high since October 2008, 83.95 dollars. The barrel of "light sweet crude was trading at 83.52 dollars against 82.75 cents Friday.
The euro continued to rise against the dollar Monday, settling beyond $ 1.45.Vers 15h, the euro bought 1.4528 dollars against 1.4404 dollars on Friday.
Friday, despite the bad figures of unemployment and consumer credit in the U.S., the Dow Jones gained 0.10% and 0.75% on Nasdaq.
Alcoa (2.47% to 17.02 dollars): the group must publish its fourth quarter results after the close, signaling the start of the earnings season.
Delta Airlines (-1.20% to 12.32%): A source close to the case reported Sunday that any decision on a possible partnership of Japan Airlines, with one of two U.S. airlines could be taken that after the inauguration of a new management team.
Citigroup (0.97% to $ 3.63) Prince Alwaleed bin Talal, owner of Kingdom Holding and shareholder of the U.S. institution said Monday he expected a "stabilization and profitability" for the bank in 2010.
American Express (-1.20% to 41.43 dollars) the shareholders of financial services group should halve their position on the title after the sharp increase since March, believes the stock market weekly Barron's in its latest edition.
No rest for the CAC 40. The latter has just enrolled in early trading Monday to its highest level in 2009, three days before his last meeting of the year. The flagship index of the Paris Bourse is indeed 0.7% to 3940 points 20 minutes after opening. For its part, the Frankfurt Stock Exchange broke the 6,000 points.
Optimism seems to be placed on international markets. In Asia, indices were equally oriented, taking advantage of such remarks by the Chinese premier, who has called for further fiscal stimulus in his country.
The British markets will be closed at the Boxing Day. No indicator is expected today, neither Europe nor the United States.
Values follow
EDF is 0.86%, GDF Suez wins 1.58%, Areva lost 1.92%, and Total is 0.78%.This is the South Korean consortium has won the contract for 40 billion dollars in the UAE for the construction and operation of four nuclear reactors. The French consortium comprising the four energy groups, one given time favorite is defeated.
Societe Generale is 0.52%. The group could have a new shareholder in the person of the Russian businessman Vladimir Potanin. The shareholder of Norilsk Nickel said Friday it was considering the possibility of taking a minority stake after 2010.
It's going to Crédit Agricole evil SA! After conceding 4.59% Thursday as the bank lost 4.73% shortly after mid-session at 12.295 euros, or one of its lowest levels since three months, and signs for the second consecutive time the highest CAC 40 down and even the entire industry in Europe.
Like BNP Paribas (0.44%) and Societe Generale (0.57%), the entire banking sector is undergoing suffering. But the fall is more brutal for Crédit Agricole. "The strengthening of prudential bank by the Basel Committee" penalizes "greater mutual banks," said Vincent Ganne, strategist IG Markets. He added: "The capital of these banks (mutual) is composed of common shares and ITC (cooperative investment certificates).As stated Vincent Ganne, the Basel Committee intends to require banks that shares are the dominant form of their own funds. However, Credit Agricole has over ICC BNP Paribas or Societe Generale. According to the strategist, Crédit Agricole is expected to retreat further in the short term. In addition, Bank of America-Merrill Lynch recently lowered his rating from "buy" to "neutral."
Basel, Greece, recommendation: Crédit Agricole depression
Lastly, Crédit Agricole suffers for several weeks on fears its exposure to the debt of Greece, including Standard & Poor's, after Fitch downgraded the long-term notes. The rating agency also notes the gradient of two major Greek banks, Eurobank and Alphabank. However, the mutual insurance group is present in Greece, through its subsidiary Emproki. "A greater share of profits should be set aside to build social capital.Outside, Credit Agricole has lagged behind other banks, mainly because of Emporiki should not return to profitability by the end of 2011 "concluded Vincent Ganne.
Over a month, Credit Agricole fell 17%, when the CAC 40 gained 0.6% and the DJ Stoxx European banks down 7%.
Dec
10
This Thursday that the Paris City Hall launched the tender for Autolib ', inspired by the Vélib'. This is to provide potential subscribers 3 000 vehicles in over 1 000 stations in the capital and suburbs where twenty municipalities are involved. One candidate has already emerged: the quartet comprising Notices, RATP, SNCF and Vinci Park. The tender to be deposited on Thursday will be discussed in spring 2010 and the choice of provider is expected within a year. Autolib 'is a campaign promise from the mayor of Paris, Bertrand Delanoë. The Greens are reserved for the chosen system. New Center advocates for small electric taxis. The UMP calls for a postponement of one year for a thorough debate takes place on a project at 35 million euros.
"Autolib ': a project difficult to achieve
Last year at the same time, the French automobile factories were preparing to enter into a long hibernation. Most sites of PSA Peugeot Citroen and Renault have lowered the curtain for a month between December and early January. This year, thanks to scrap premiums introduced in Europe, the activity is markedly increased compared to the end of 2008 disaster.
The contrast is particularly clear in PSA, although the production levels of 2007 are still far away. Overall, the French manufacturer's sites will close down between Christmas and New Year's Day for the traditional week of vacation. The group enjoys the success of new models like the Peugeot 3008 or 206 + products in France. Only the plant in Rennes, specializes in upscale, undergo three days of partial unemployment in December.In total, the production of PSA increase of 33.6% in the fourth quarter 2009 over fourth quarter 2008, but remain in decline of 10.2% over the same period in 2007.
Renault also later, production was resumed. The group includes the diamond increased by 50% worldwide in the last quarter compared to 2008. But as the activity of plants was reduced by 45% this time last year, the manufacturer has not regained its pace of two years ago.
Partial unemployment in 2010
If the situation returned to normal on most sites the French Diamond, Douai and Sandouville turn even slow this season. The plant Sandouville near Le Havre, close to the total one week in early December, then to three weeks between December 19 and January 8.After discontinuation of the Vel Satis, it assembles more than the Laguna and Espace, penalized by the penalty green.
He has sold only 30 000 Laguna in France in the first ten months of the year (- 32%) and Area 7 100 (- 27%). Employees are worried, because on this site, where 1 300 jobs were eliminated recently, the assembly of a new model, a utility vehicle, which will begin "in the first half of 2013," said Patrick Pelata Friday, the CEO of Renault, and not, as previously announced, in 2012. Other affected site, Douai, in the North, which makes the Megane Scenic MPV. It will stop more than three weeks from December 17 to January 11.
For 2010, Renault do not expect a return to normal.The manufacturer provides on average 45 days of partial unemployment in its French factories, against 50 to 60 days in 2009, said Friday the CGT, relying on information management. The only consolation, according to an internal agreement, employees of Renault partial unemployment has reached 100% of their salary this year.
This caution is linked to cessation of car scrapping or reducing them next year. The sales may still decline by 6 to 8% in Western Europe in 2010 after an expected decline of 5% in 2009, according to rating agency Fitch Ratings.
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Undermined repeatedly on the effectiveness of measures to support employment developed by the government since the crisis began, Laurent Wauquiez has made a point Tuesday to step unpublished figures in support on the all the devices. "1.5 million people have benefited from various measures implemented since the beginning of the crisis," said Secretary of State for Employment. This does not mean that we have saved 1.5 million jobs, but that it helped or supported 1.5 million people. We are well beyond the goals we set ourselves. "
319 000 employees in total have benefited in the second quarter (against 157 000 at first) device for partial unemployment to better compensate for time not worked (up to 90% of net salary) and, in theory, use this time for training."It is a cultural revolution that operate upstream of redundancies in our country and avoid unemployment during the crossing of the crisis," stated Laurent Wauquiez, however, unable to say how many employees actually receive training to "adapt our productive "and" permit to rebound in the post-crisis.
No crisis of recruitment in the TPE
650 000 hires have been "supported" – that is to say, created or saved – since early February with the device "zero load" which is to exempt from social security contributions while recruitment at the minimum wage. This figure includes the windfall, that is to say that the hiring would have occurred anyway, helps or not. "The objective was to support 700 000 hires in 2009, further noted the Secretary of State.We should get to make as many hires in normal years, avoiding a crisis of recruitment in companies with fewer than 10 employees. "
Another point: 404 000 assisted contracts – subsidized by the state – have been prescribed since the start of the year: 326 000 in the commercial sector (87% of target 2 009) and 78 000 in the non-profit sector ( 78% of target). 125 000 retrenched (an increase in the number of beneficiaries over 500% since 2008) have also benefited from reclassification of a device that provides personalized coaching strengthened and enhanced unemployment compensation.
Its contracts alternately falling from 20% in early 2009 "has been halted" because the emergency plan implemented in the spring. The delay would be well more than 5%."There is even an improvement in the fall compared to last year," said Secretary of State for Employment, for which the government "has managed to save the youth employment because no return ' has not been, as expected, apocalyptic ".
"Confusion about the effects of recovery plan