Russia enters the WTO backwards. After eighteen years of fruitless negotiations, Russia will finally entering the World Trade Organization (WTO). The decision will be made official on 15 and 16 November during a ministerial meeting of the Organization, in Geneva, and should take full effect in the summer of 2012.
U.S. President Barack Obama has "welcomed" his counterpart, Dmitri Medvedev. Russia remains so far the only major power not to comply with multilateral trade rules. This advance, described the EU as "a very important step for the Russian economy" is, however, greeted with great discretion in Moscow. Vladimir Putin, who will return to Kremlin in 2012, has never hidden his lack of enthusiasm at the prospect of a liberalization of the Russian economy.Under the pretext of various sanitary, Moscow often blocks the European agri-food imports. Example, from November 15, German pigs suspected of receiving antibiotics, will be denied entry on Russian soil. "Once in the WTO, Russia must change its practices," said the diplomat, however, is not no illusions. The Kremlin will find it hard to give up their protectionist habits.
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The clouds are gathering on the French economy. The Bank of France has released its forecast on Wednesday morning for the fourth quarter: it expects zero growth over the period. It has not changed its latest estimate for the third quarter from 0.1% growth. "The projections show a continuation of the activity to maintain its current level," said she.
The monetary institution observes that the business climate has deteriorated slightly in October in the industry (-1 point 96) and in services (1 point 95). In industry, the factories do not increase the use of production capacity. In addition, the order books are somewhat empty. In services, "the outlook is geared towards a stable activity in the short term," analyzes the Bank of France us fast cash.
The monthly survey of the Bank of France confirmed the slowdown in growth by some economists. In view of the evidence advanced PMI, France would be even already in recession, say the economists at JPMorgan. Another U.S. institution, BofA Merrill Lynch, believes that France is expected to decline 0.3% of its activity in the fourth quarter compared to the previous one, and not resume growth until late 2012.
So, if the average of analysts' forecasts remains at 0.9% growth for the euro area in 2012, large banks have seen their shelves these days. On the downside. Exane BNP Paribas has drastically revised its analysis and expects zero growth next year to France, while in September it still expects growth of 1%.
From our correspondent in Berlin The future of the euro area will play again in the Bundestag on Wednesday. At least in part. Before flying to Brussels, Angela Merkel will deliver a speech outlining the plan to rescue the European, which will be submitted to the approval of German MPs.
The two main opposition parties, the Social Democrats SPD and the Greens, reported Tuesday their intention to vote a joint motion with the majority. The Chancellor should reach the European summit armed with a strong mandate and clear the lower house of Parliament, even though his own majority does not always gained him Tuesday night.
"I am bound by my duties to avoid damage to the German people to do what is good for the German people. This is my guideline in the negotiations, "said the Chancellor, calling for the broadest possible support of the deputies."We have reached a tentative agreement between the majority and the opposition," said Carsten Schneider for his part, the SPD budget expert.
The joint motion of the multiplication of the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF) implies that the European Central Bank (ECB) continues to buy bonds on the secondary market. In a draft final communique of the summit on Wednesday, traveling Tuesday between European capitals, the Heads of State and Government were preparing yet explicitly encourage the ECB to do so.
The Chancellor said that she refused the European states impose a course of action to the ECB, exposing a new source of tension with its partners on the eve of EU summit. "We are negotiating for a position of the ECB, who says she wants to do to help countries in the euro area in crisis.Do not let emerge the false impression that the policies expect something of the ECB, "she said, stationing themselves in guaranteeing the independence of the monetary institution payday loan online.
Avoid the humiliation
Angela Merkel told the parliamentarians that the strike force of EFSF should be given to over 1000 billion euros with leverage. The reduction of the Greek debt to private creditors imposed should be "above 50% and below 60%," she added. The joint motion submitted to the Bundestag is also considering the deadline of June 30, 2012 for a recapitalization of European banks.
Merkel faces a new rebellion against its European projects within his own camp. Tuesday, during a test vote, seven members of the CDU, his own party, voted against the motion of EFSF multiplier and three others abstained.A month ago, during a Bundestag vote on extending the powers of EFSF, Merkel had already had to fight to the end to avoid the humiliation of not collecting his own camp. The Chancellor had finally obtained a large majority.
In a ruling last month by the Constitutional Court, the German government can not engage with its European partners on budgetary matters without a mandate from the Bundestag.
Merkel might have to settle for a vote of the Budget Committee. At the insistence of the opposition, she finally chose to ratify the text in plenary session, thus saving the reproach of wanting to leave the key in Parliament.Thus it will arrive in Brussels also armed with a very strong mandate, which will leave only a small place in the negotiation … to better enforce German diktat.
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The Paris Bourse tries to continue the rebound on Friday. The CAC 40, which opened sharply lower did an about face in the morning. Halfway through, he won by 2.17% to 2871 points, pulled up by the banking sector. Investors seem to focus on a recapitalization of some institutions.
Other major European markets advance in unison, Frankfurt climbed 2.83%, Madrid and Milan by 3.23% from 3.75%. London, however, remains in equilibrium, the FTSE symbolically yields 0.05%.
Concerns about sovereign debt in Europe is still present when a crucial week for Greece ahead. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) said that a delegation will travel to Athens this week to determine whether or not the country can benefit from the sixth round of eight billion euros, it vital to avoid bankruptcy.Moreover, Germany will vote Thursday the agreement for the expansion of the scope of the relief fund of the zone (EFSF). Sunday, German Chancellor Angela Merkel expressed confidence the outcome of the vote. Evangelos Venizelos, Greek Minister of Finance, for his part spoke with Jean-Claude Trichet, head of the ECB, a debt restructuring Greek. In an effort to reassure global markets, finance ministers of the euro area are committed in a common text, to "do everything necessary to solve the crisis of debt and financial stability of the area in whole and its Member States. " The idea of taking office faster than expected EFSF has also been raised by Germany this weekend.EU Commissioner Olli Rehn himself has said that Europeans reflected to provide the EFSF additional instruments, beyond those agreed in July to give "more power" in an interview with Die Welt newspaper.
The Ifo index better than expected
The Ifo index of business climate in Germany has also provided a little balm in the heart of investors. He recorded a decline in September, less than expected. However, this is its third consecutive decline, which seems to suggest that the activity of the first euro zone economy is slowing.
Sign fears still strong on the issue of public debt in Europe, the euro held steady in the $ 1.35 this morning at 1.3407 dollar.
Values to follow
• banking takes off
The banking sector led the trend.By late morning, flying from BNP Paribas 6.66%, 6.31% of Crédit Agricole and Societe Generale of 5.20%. Rumors of a recapitalization of French banks to benefit industry. In addition, the Deposit, the Postal Bank and Dexia negotiate the creation of a new public to fund local governments, according to Le Figaro. In addition, the Franco-Belgian bank could increase its program to sell its toxic assets, housed in bonds, 20 billion euros, according to Les Echos.
• LVMH (+0.38% to 105.85 euros)
The group announced Friday now hold almost all the shares of the Italian jeweler Bulgari, the luxury giant announced the takeover in March.
• France Telecom (2.13%) Iliad (2.11%) Vivendi (0.03%), Bouygues (-1.08%).
The state is on track to win his bet on the financial 4G mobile frequencies after a first series of which reported more than budgeted and, according to experts, suggests an aggressive posture in the second round by operators who have not had the expected number of lots.
Also note, the IPO of Groupama, long anticipated, was again postponed and is now expected "more towards 2015," said its director general, Jean Azema, in an interview with Les Echos.
The CAC 40 plunges into the red Monday. The benchmark index of the Paris Stock Exchange, which closed Friday on the day of a severe fall of 3.6%, falling 3.52% to 3037.72 points after opening down 2.41% at 3072 , 51 points. The movement is the same in the rest of Europe in London, the FTSE-100 index lost 1.99%, in Frankfurt the Dax was down 3.01%. Madrid and Milan unleash respectively 2.86% and 2.64%.
The health of European banks up to the center of attention. The President of the French Banking Federation (FBF), François Perol, recognizes this Monday, in an interview with Les Echos, that if "bank liquidity in euro is not a problem," "the dollar is more refinancing tense. " Executive Director of the International Monetary Fund, Christine Lagarde, in turn repeats, in an interview published Monday in Germany, criticized the request of a European bank recapitalization."We think in general it is necessary to recapitalize European banks so that they are strong enough to withstand the risks associated with the debt crisis and low growth," she told the weekly Der Spiegel.
The chief executive of Deutsche Bank (-6.74% to 24.25 euros), Josef Ackermann, in turn, poured oil on the fire by saying that some European banks would not survive if they were to reassess the sovereign debt accounts at market price. Recapitalization forced the European banking sector could in turn send the wrong signal to markets, in this case the loss of faith on the part of authorities in the ability of measures to succeed, however, said Josef Ackermann .
Societe Generale lost 7.33% to 20.54 euros.The bank is also penalized by the U.S. federal agency oversight of mortgage that has filed a complaint Friday against 17 major international financial institutions which include the French bank, for a total loss of $ 41 billion in bonds linked to subprime .
In its wake, BNP Paribas lost 7.08% to 31.05 euros, Crédit Agricole 6.08% to 5.81 euros and 4.42% at Axa 10.06 euros. Natixis lost 4.87% to 2.58 euros. The aerospace equipment Safran (-2.78% to 26.25 euros) will make its entry into the CAC 40 index, while the bank Natixis is about to leave, said Friday the Scientific Council of the indices of NYSE Euronext. The changes take effect Sept. 19.
Bad signals on growth
In addition to banking problems, the first global economy has fueled fears of a global slowdown by announcing Friday it had no jobs created in August. Following this announcement, Wall Street closed on a sharp drop of more than 2%. U.S. markets will do on Monday with European stock any procedure they will remain closed for Labor Day (Labor Day observed every first Monday of September). "Wall Street remains closed doors, it seems unlikely that operators take the slightest risk," said Chris Weston, an analyst at IG Markets.
Asian stock markets have instead given with a negative pulse of the market in red. Operators in the region have learned that HSBC index of purchasing managers in the Chinese sector services slowed to an unprecedented low in August.Seasonally adjusted and calculated by the Institute Markit, it fell to 50.6 after 53.5 in July.
No other indicator may move the index is also expected on Monday. One highlight of the week will be the release of the Beige Book Fed on Wednesday night, which will be the summary of economic conditions in regions in the United States best payday advance.
No recession expected in Europe
The side of the euro area, European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso, has tried to reassure investors. Traveling in Australia, he said that the European economy would experience in the coming months a "moderate growth" without going into recession. "We do not anticipate a recession in Europe.The latest forecasts from the European Commission show that the growth will be at the meeting, although this growth will be moderate, it is true, "he said in Sydney.
Markit, the company that carries out the PMI, however, said on Monday that growth in private activity in the euro area slowed more than expected in August, falling to its lowest level in two years, reinforcing fears of a return to recession by the end of 2011. The composite index, which summarizes the activity in the service sector and manufacturing fell to 50.7 points against 51.1 points in July, according to a second estimate.
For his part, Jean-Claude Trichet, president of the European Central Bank said it is "imperative" to implement the decisions taken by Heads of State and Government of the euro zone in July to resolve the debt crisis.
The euro fell slightly to 1.4140 dollars after falling in morning trading, to a low of three weeks, to 1.4138 dollar. For their part, oil prices were down in electronic trading in Asia, depressed by the poor figures on employment in the United States. A barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in October lost 59 cents to 85.86 dollars per barrel of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery 74 cents to 111.59 dollars.Saft takes off
EDF: -2.70% to 20.38 euros
The Italian Minister of Industry, Paolo Romani, said Sunday he would meet Monday Proglio about the power company Edison.
ArcelorMittal: -2.87% to 13.72 euros
Peabody Energy and ArcelorMittal announced Monday it had extended until September 27, the period during which the short bid for $ 5 billion (3.53 billion euros) on the Australian Macarthur Coal.
Zodiac: -1.67% to 54.20 euros
The group said it had completed the acquisition of the American Heath Tecna and have reached an agreement with its banks to raise 300 million euros the amount of an existing credit line.
Schneider Electric: -4.80% to 41.89 euros
The French government intervened with the company to freeze a plan for the removal of one.000 temporary positions, the daily Liberation in its Monday edition, but the group has firmly denied to AFP such a plan.
Saft: 9.81% to 23.96 euros (largest increase in the SBF 120)
The American automotive supplier Johnson Controls will pay $ 145 million (102 million euros) to the French specialist in batteries as part of an amicable agreement ending their joint venture in the automotive industry, announced Friday the two groups in a joint statement.
Alstom: -4.07% to 29.55 euros
The group signed a 66 million euros with Iraq to build a power plant in the province of Nineveh in the north, said the Iraqi Minister of Electricity.
France Telecom: -1.87% to 12.33 euros
TPSA its Polish subsidiary has announced to contest the fine of 128 million euros that inflicted the European Commission.
The era of good times is over. China, which for years received lessons in economic policy by the United States, primarily relating to foreign exchange, takes revenge. While S & P has to sacrifice the triple A of the United States, Beijing, the largest holder of U.S. bonds in the world – by far, with 1,160 billion of U.S. Treasuries in the drawers according to figures from Washington published last May – now estimated to have "every right to require U.S. to address their structural problems of debt."
The Chinese government estimates that S & P has only confirmed a "horrible truth". One that was highlighted by the rating agency Dagong China, which has degraded the U.S. triple-A immediately after the agreement to raise the debt ceiling.She said "the days of Uncle Sam, crippled with debt, could easily squander endless amounts of borrowing from abroad seem numbered. (…) In order to treat his addiction to debt, the U.S. must restore the principle of common sense that we must live within its means. " For Dagong, the note of the United States increased from A + to A with, again, a negative outlook. According to the official Xinhua news agency, the adoption by Congress of a text to avoid a default of the United States failed to defuse "the bomb of debt." This failure to control U.S. borrowing could affect the "well-being of hundreds of millions of families in the United States and abroad," she lamented a few days ago.
In other countries, tempers
In France, Baroin, Minister of Economy, trying to reassure.First European official to respond to the thunder of the deterioration in the sovereign rating of the debt of the United States, he ensured that France "has full confidence in the strength of the U payday loans with no fax.S. economy and its fundamentals, and in the U.S. government's determination to implement the plan that was approved by Congress this week. "
Japan, the second creditor of the United States, said that its policy of buying U.S. bonds remained unchanged despite lowering their score. "Our confidence in U.S. Treasuries and their attractiveness as an investment will not change because of this action," said a Japanese government official told Dow Jones Newswires.Japan, which is trying by all means to curb a flight of its currency against the greenback, has no interest in selling its dollar assets for now since it would only strengthen the yen.
In South Korea, senior officials of the Ministry of Finance held an emergency meeting Saturday to analyze the consequences of the downgrade. But the government has warned against overreaction. "We need not be too worried about our economy and financial markets," said Deputy Finance Minister Yim Jong-yong. An Australian Prime Minister Julia Gillard has also called for calm markets. "At the same time, the other two major agencies, Moody's and Fitch continue to note the U.S. economy AAA. So I think people need to consider all the facts, "she said.In the Philippines, a spokesman for the Presidency said that the downgrade by S & P was "to some extent a wakeup call for the U.S. begin to seriously address their economic problems. We have confidence in their ability to do so. "
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LE FIGARO. -The markets are highly concerned in recent weeks of debt crises. In this context, the economy has not she also helped to disrupt?
Jean-Michel SIX. -If, of course. And we must start by saying that in times of summer holidays, the markets, which were then much lower volumes, overreact to any new economic situation. The lower the index is up or dive in a much more important than what happens in winter.
Right now, they are rather dive …
For several months, both sides of the Atlantic, the signals on growth are not good. United States, including employment prospects are very disappointing. In fact, employment is not really left since the 2008 financial crisis.Labor mobility is limited due to the housing crisis: moving to take a new position, which is much the United States, is difficult because it becomes difficult to sell his house. As for household consumption, it is significantly weakened by the debt levels of Americans. A total of 2011 should result in a 2% growth, which is very disappointing for the U.S., where the pace of activity is generally much higher than in Europe.
Europe, precisely, is it in a perilous situation?
The problem of Europe is the growing divergence between North and South. This is something that worries the markets, which are asking what does that mean in terms of consistency of the euro area.Then, after a strong first quarter, it was believed that the air hole is the second passenger (once the effects of the earthquake in Japan absorbed and oil back to lower levels). But we realize that the sequence is also likely to be poor.
Markets can they regain composure?
It is quite possible to restore calm in September thanks to coordinated action. What happened in July is that we have simultaneously witnessed a loss of U.S. leadership, unable to break the deadlock of debt and a crisis of leadership in Europe in a context crisis on public finances. This is exactly the opposite which would have required!
So how about it?
First, we must continue the work on European Governance. This is critical. Second, the timing of implementation of the second plan is important for Greece.The European Financial Stability Fund will be endowed with significant firepower, which is to say the least-welcome, but there is some impatience markets. It is important not to drag the national parliaments to adopt the device. The political signal must come quickly. Finally, the ECB has played its role, it must continue to appear reassuring.
That's what she tried to Thursday …
The measures announced by President Trichet, in particular the resumption of purchases by the ECB on secondary markets, are extremely positive.
Investors do they always trust in the euro area?
Yes. Investor confidence, especially in emerging countries has not disappeared. She even remained strong, as evidenced by the excellent performance of the euro since the beginning of the crisis.The euro zone faces a crisis of governance, not a crisis of its currency.
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A race against time. On Monday, the French stage will present at the National Rugby Marcoussis, before the DNACG (National Directorate of assistance and management control) financial guarantees as to the survival of the Parisian club, after the fraud case linked Facem the Canadian Foundation (Foundation for the Improvement of children in the world).
Still two million find
The figure is known, the French stage has a deficit of 6 million euros to be filled Monday. Bernard Laporte would have found new investors. But after the spectacular failure of Facem, the pool of investors formed by the Englishman Richard Pool-Jones, former player for the club, has also been reactivated, with the help of Serge Kampf, CEO of Capgemini and a great patron of rugby French, and former international Jean-Pierre Rives.The DNACG, before which the Parisian club had already presented in May, is now more demanding, it expects 12.6 million euros in guarantees, in the amount that would normally Facem injected. The round of Pool-Jones would have raised 8 million – the amount initially met – and another 2 million could be saved by reviewing the operating mode of the Parisian club. Remains yet to find 2 million euros to avoid the gauntlet of the "financial policeman" of French rugby. The question is which of the two solutions will be chosen.
A bloated workforce that will have to degrease
Ironically, the missing 2 million in the plane of Pool-Jones correspond to expenses incurred in recruiting high-end by the French stage version which had Laporte on 20 million euros pledged by the Facem but are never arrived.
A total of 19 players have committed to the Paris Club, including the Argentine Felipe Contepomi, New Zealand's Byron Kelleher and Paul Sackey English free instant credit score. The wage bill had increased to 8 million euros. Another nod, the signature of South Africans Mostert and Van Zyl was announced just minutes before the revelation of the scam. Tuesday afternoon, already aware of the shock, the agents were in turmoil, many trying to resettle their foals outside the capital. Obvious: we'll have to degrease the mammoth. Pascal Pape and David Attoub could rebound in Lyon, recently promoted to Top 14. Bastareaud, who wishes to engage with Toulon but is retained by Bernard Laporte, will get the proper output in the coming days. Mourad Boudjellal, the president of RCT, intention, however, take advantage of the situation. "The first thing that the French stage recovers.I prefer to renegotiate with Max Guazzini and Bernard Laporte in top form in this situation. I really do not want to take advantage, "he said Friday in Var Matin.
Laporte, a return that is like a slap in the face
It would revive the French stage, it could remain who precipitated his fall. Without money from the Facem (three related to this foundation have since been placed in custody), there is nothing. Former Secretary of State for Sport has played with fire. He has left € 170,000 under the guarantees. Salagoïty Francis, former president of the Bayonne where "Bernie" was a brief passage, drives the point home in South West: "Everyone will understand that my apprehensions were based on Bernard Laporte." The only way to bounce back is that the new rescue plan is adopted.In either case, it is rumored that Serge Kampf would not want to hear about it …
With a business volume of 300 million euros, Travel sncf.com set a record last month. "We sold 150,000 tickets a rainy day, 200,000 on a good day," said Yves Tyrode, director general of the website, a subsidiary of SNCF, which claims more than 55 million train tickets sold last year and more than 11 million unique visitors each month. "Last year, 70% of Internet users have come at least once. We are the site of all the French! "
In fact, Voyages-SNCF. com is the leading French travel agency online. In 2010, the site has achieved 2.8 billion euros in sales volumes, driven by a 18% growth over 2009.
Year after year, Travel sncf.com widening the gap with so … the counters of the station. Last year, the site has achieved 36% of sales of train tickets. A record.For the record, this percentage was 27% in 2008, the share of branches reaching 28% at the time.
"We are pro in the distribution of tickets online and we want to be in Europe, says Barbara Dalibard. Online sales change over a double-digit growth. Customers come under the counter. "
2011, promising
The CEO of SNCF Voyages recently told a group of journalists that "currently, our sales come for more than a third of the Internet, 20% of travel agencies and the rest is done at the counters of our stores and" .
2011 promises to be a promising year for Travel sncf.com. "Even trend" in 2010, according to its CEO Yves Tyrode and "explosion" of sales from mobile phones and tablets (iPad).While these new devices sales still weigh little in the overall volume of activity in Travel sncf.com, but since January the sales they have generated has increased by 100% to 20 million euros. In May, mobiles and tablets as well have accounted for 10% of the audience of the site.
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"The crisis is over," says Louis Welsh, CEO of EADS. "The civil aviation goes, the market is left," he said, who looked forward orders for its Airbus "substantially" higher than the 263 aircraft already in his notebooks Bourget. The EADS boss also confirmed that the A380 superjumbo 'will fly today. "
In the third opening day of the 49th Paris Air Show in Paris, Airbus and Boeing should also announce a set of commands. But it is the European leading the way commands from Monday, with its Neo A320 with about 550 aircraft ordered to date. In two days, the two rivals have exceeded the 300 aircraft ordered.
• Airbus: two giant orders coming
On Wednesday, we are still waiting for two big new Airbus.Qatar Airways to place order of fifty five Airbus A320 and A380 Neo, the jetliner the European aircraft manufacturer. In addition, the Indian company should confirm IndiGo in the day a mega order of 180 Airbus A350 Neo worth $ 16 billion at list prices. In addition, the low cost Malaysian AirAsia is currently negotiating a contract with Airbus that could be up to 200 A320 Neo. Tony Fernandes, CEO of the airline, is expected Thursday at Le Bourget.
– The rental of aircraft ALAFCO Kuwait signed an agreement for six A350. Based on list prices only indicative, this represents $ 1.6 billion.
– The Latin American AviancaTaca company said Wednesday it has signed an agreement to purchase 51 medium-haul A320, including 33 re-engined A320 Neo.All of this command is a list price of about $ 4.5 billion.
– Republic (United States) signed a memorandum of understanding for 80 A320 Neo.
• Boeing
Since Monday, Boeing sign him, smaller contracts (41) Airbus for its medium-haul 737.
– The Russian company UTair sign a Memorandum of Understanding for 40 B737 for a list price of $ 3.2 billion.
• Sukhoi
The airline italienneBlue Panorama Airlines has ordered twelve aircraft Superjet 100 Russian Sukhoi group for $ 370 million (about EUR 257 million) announced Wednesday the Italian group Finmeccanica, Sukhoi partner for the Superjet.
The A400M grounded
A faulty gearbox which nailed to the ground during the A400M Paris Air Show is probably rooted in a manufacturing defect, said Tuesday one of the program.Airbus and engine manufacturers are studying this box, which broke a few days before the beginning of the troop transport plane in the sky at Le Bourget, forcing the manufacturer to cancel its demonstration flights.
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