The U.S. stock market should be wary about the direction to take the opening in an atmosphere remained febrile for several major events at the macroeconomic level. The index futures are predicting a slight decrease in opening markets américains.Les future on Standard & Poor's 500 and Nasdaq 100 recoil effect, respectively, from 0.19% to 1108.70 points and 1884.25 points to 0.12%. On Tuesday, the NYSE has closed in a fragmented, divided between publications very positive company like Du Pont chemist, and the downturn in consumer confidence in July. At the end, the Dow Jones gained 0.12% to 10,537.77 points.The S & P 500 is broader, has lost him, 0.11%, to 1113.76 points and the Nasdaq fell 0.36% to 2288.25 points.
On the foreign exchange market, the euro was maintained in the morning to its best levels since two months around $ 1.30.
At the macroeconomic level, the U.S. central bank must now publish its Beige Book on economic conditions. It will be very guarded while the president of the institution, Bernanke said there is just one week before the Congress, the slow recovery, with no announcement of new funding in the economy.But it was the day Friday with the first estimate of gross domestic product (GDP) that will attract the attention of investors.
On the side of values, the telecom equipment maker Broadcom announced yesterday after the close of Wall Street quarterly profit of $ 278 million, against $ 13.4 million last year electronic check payday advance. Turnover was up 54% (+10% sequentially) to $ 1.6 billion.
Note also the biotechnology group Cephalon issued a quarterly profit of $ 89.1 million, well above expectations.
Always on the side of values, the Wall Street Journal, internet group Google is in talks with several video game publishers, in order to enlist their support for setting up a social networking service that would compete with Facebook .Some game publishers approached by Google Playdom be included, a publisher whose Disney announced the acquisition Tuesday, Playfish, bought last year by Electronic Arts, and Zynga, in which Google has already invested, it said.
For its part, the Microsoft IT group has criticized the partnership between Yahoo! Japan and Google, saying it would end the competition in the internet search in Japan and has questioned its "legality".
Also note, the oil company BP will have to "change the culture" after the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico, said its new CEO, American Bob Dudley, in an interview on ABC.
Eurazeo, owner of the chain of budget hotels B & B wants to sell its stake of 73%, raises interest. Candidates have until Monday to surrender to submit their bids firm, a transaction that may occur in the wake.
For the moment, there are four candidates. According to our information, this investment fund Carlyle, Bridgepoint, LBO France and PAI Partners. Starwood Capital could be added to this list at the last minute. Eurazeo, which had taken control of B & B in 2005 to approximately 380 million euros, expects the deals financed at the top of the range between 450 and 500 million euros.
With 227 hotels (187 in France, 35 Germany, 4 in Italy and one in Poland), B & B is a turnover of 200 million euros this year.
After the government advertisement To reduce the funds allocated to several departments, Jean-Louis Borloo has described some of the measures envisaged to his ministry, according to Les Echos published on Friday. The Department of Ecology and Sustainable Development is indeed an important concern to put on a diet of government: it gives rise to tax benefits more expensive for the state (15 billion euros after Les Echos) that it would reduce to 8.5 to 10 billion euros. Moreover, these measures increase of 800 million euros annually.
In all, nearly two billion euros would be saved by 2012, including one billion on niches "green" these tax benefits related to work "green".Jean-Louis Borloo has raised the deduction available to individuals who install photovoltaic panels on the roof of their home loans pay day. The shortfall for the State is estimated at 800 million euros. It could therefore be reduced by at least 50% reserved for existing homes.
The list of works "green" that give rise to tax benefits could also be reduced. The tax cuts themselves could also decrease by 10%. As for renovations "non-green", they could lose their advantage of a VAT at 5.5%.
Finally, the government also calls into question his support for biofuels. They enjoy a double benefit: a reduced fee and the requirement for all distributors to offer for sale.
Standard & Poor's finally penalized AREVA, judging the profitability of the group "depressed" for two years. The notes of French nuclear group, which was under surveillance by the rating agency since April 14 last, was finally degraded Monday by two notches to 'BBB +, cons A.
The first reason advanced by the agency for "the provision of 400 million euros related to the recently announced construction of the Olkiluoto 3 reactor in Finland. The further delay of the Finnish EPR, one of four currently under construction by Areva (Flamanville with the Channel and two in China), forcing the group to a new provision that would cause a negative operating result for the first semester 2010. In total, the group has been provisioned 2.7 billion euros for this site should be completed in late 2012 with four years late.
S & P added that the profitability of Areva would also be affected by a "conflict" is contrasted with EDF about the Georges Besse enrichment plant, in the Drome. Both groups fail to reach an agreement to renew the contract which ensures the Areva uranium enrichment EDF.
The rating agency does have a stable outlook on the debt rating of Areva, the group believes that "should be able to implement successfully the remainder of the plan sales and its plan to increase capital , strengthening its balance sheet.
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The operation of rating agencies
After the European Council, the International Monetary Fund (IMF). On Friday, it was the turn of Dominique Strauss-Kahn, IMF managing director, said to be "very confident in the prospects for the Spanish economy in the medium and long term." The latter was speaking after a meeting in Madrid with Spanish Prime Minister Jose Louis Zapatero Rodrgiuez. The day before, Thursday, Nicolas Sarkozy, speaking on behalf of the European heads of state, also explained that there was no need to worry about the financial health of Spain.
That trust, however, is conditioned "to efforts must be made" by Spain, according to the IMF."What I see today is that these efforts are underway, however, found the director of the institution, referring to measures to reduce public deficits and structural reforms announced by the Spanish government.
Focus on employment
Dominique Strauss-Kahn in particular called "crucial" reform of the labor market. According to him, it is "incredible" that the unemployment rate is rising so fast in Spain each economic crisis compared to other European countries. Today, the Spanish unemployment rate reached 20% of the labor force, double the average for the euro area.
The parton IMF was satisfied that the reform of the Spanish government will lay "the foundations of the Spanish growth for the next two decades.""If done correctly, I am very confident," he repeated, adding that "the steps taken by Spain in recent days were crucial.
Maintaining growth
For its part, the Spanish Prime Minister has reaffirmed, after his meeting with the Director of the IMF austerity measures that his government had put in place should not affect the growth of his country."Fiscal consolidation, reduced public spending, if we conclude the reforms, if reforms are strong as we think and produce enough confidence, should not affect the economic recovery and maintain growth in prices since the first quarter "said Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero.
Always with a view to reassure the markets, the Spanish Prime Minister reiterated the importance of resistance testing (stress test) should be conducted on European banks. These must be published before the end of July, after Nicolas Sarkozy. "The sooner the better," said Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero, who considers the initiative "absolutely critical" to "recover market confidence.He said the results will be noted that "most banks are in a good situation."
Spain, described by speculation, is now back to the wall. The country has a deficit that exceeds 11% of GDP in 2009. But Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero is confident: "I would not be surprised if market sentiment changes towards Spain in the weeks or months to come," he warned.
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Despite a decline in GDP since the second quarter of 2008, wages continued to rise this year at a faster pace (+3.6%) than in 2007 (+3.3%) as Figures released Thursday by the INSEE. One thing, however, tempered by the high level of inflation in this period, 2.8%, which surfaced in much of the improvement obtained by the employees. The average net wage rises in 2008 to 2069 euros net per month.
At that time, the labor market is however already the stigmata of the crisis. The structure of employment has changed, at the expense of the unskilled and temporary, in favor of executive employment and women. The average wage of workers benefiting from the decline in unskilled employment, and also recorded a significant increase resulting from indexing the minimum wage to inflation.In total, workers recorded the most favorable trends with an increase of 1.3% in constant euros.
Executives recorded the largest decline
While the average net salary of employees remains stable, that executives cash the largest decrease (0.7%) partly due to the importance of the variable component in wages. The sectors of finance and real estate are suffering most from the crisis in 2008, it is true after a sharp rise in wages in finance in 2007.
It is finally noted that while women's wages grew less than men (0.5% against 0.9%), thus widening the gaps in pay between the sexes, female employment is more resistant, particularly because of the strength of the service employment.
The "hole" becomes a chasm. The deficit in the general scheme of Social Security will reach 26.8 billion euros in 2010, having surpassed the 20 billion euros in 2009, according to a report by the Accounts Commission for Social Security (CCSS) is remit to the government on Wednesday said a source familiar with the matter told AFP. A figure to relate to a level of spending over 317 billion euros, all branches of the general scheme (health insurance, pensions, families, work accidents).
The prévisionde Commission, which will be corrected in September, is less than projected under the bill funding Social Security in September 2009. The official estimate then exceed the cap Pharaonic 30 billion deficit. An increase of over 7 billion euros to 30.6 billion.The figure of the CCSS is nevertheless an absolute record, while the social security deficit had doubled between 2008 (10.2 billion euros) and 2009 (20.3 billion).
In its report, the ACSH also believes the deficit of Old Age Solidarity Fund (FSV), whose mission includes the funding of the minimum age at 4.3 billion euros in 2010. Added to that the social security system, the total deficit of the general scheme could reach 31.1 billion euros this year, said the source familiar with the matter.
The weight of the crisis
In retail, insurance concentrates the largest share of the social security deficit and what, for the second consecutive year, with an estimated deficit of 13.1 billion euros.Then follow the branches pension deficits (9.3 billion), family (3.8 billion) and accidents (0.6 billion), according to the report of the CCSS.
In its battle against public deficits, President Nicolas Sarkozy recently announced a battery of measures to reduce the deficit to 6% of GDP in 2011, after 8% in 2010. Among these measures, the government has influenced its growth target of health insurance costs, which is now fixed at 2.9% in 2011 and 2.8% in 2012. "All measures necessary savings will be in place to comply strictly with the national healthcare expenditure (national goal of health insurance spending, ed), had then said the departments of Health and Budget in a joint statement.
Despite these initiatives, the economy weighed. The social security system is still shaken by the crisis.In 2009, the recession had hit hard the two main plates that fund the scheme: labor income (at half mast due to a decline in payroll) and income from capital (notably affected by the fall in transactions estate). And no hint of the HCMC upturn. In her report, she believes that 2010 will be continued in 2009. The "hole" of Social Security will continue to grow so brutal.
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The European Union has delivered Monday in her web of Penelope: the establishment of a "governance" to hold together the economic course of the crisis. But she still did not defined the content nor the timing, or even the actors. The sudden postponement of the appointment Sarkozy-Merkel in Berlin in addition to other mishaps for a company that struggled to take off. Finance ministers of Twenty-Seven, meeting in Luxembourg on Monday evening, still had to push the fires on their side.
On the positive side, the ministers of the euro area have sealed their agreement on the "ease" of 750 billion which should guarantee the eventual bailout of states on the brink of bankruptcy. They agreed to curb the gnawing pain of a single currency: Eurostat, the statistical arm of the EU, will be with genuine "investigative powers" to prevent a country to hide for years the severity of its fiscal situation.So much for the remedies.
EU sanctions
The advances are more confused in the forums, sometimes competing, responsible for prevention component: the Eurogroup, which brings together 16 ministers of the euro, the Ecofin, which brings together the 27 EU central bankers, and finally the new working group that puts themselves under the authority of the Chair, Herman Van Rompuy. The three find themselves in less than twenty-four hours in Luxembourg overnight pay day loans.
First floor of the mechanical preventive tightening fiscal discipline is acquired on the common principle. But its terms shall continue to oppose Germany, herald of orthodoxy in much of Europe. Berlin wants to impose on countries that refuse to toe the line of European sanctions, such as the deprivation of the right to vote, not found in the treaties.José Manuel Barroso J. "naive" the Merkel government's attitude. France, without rejecting the idea of German front, said she does not respond to the emergency "because it would take at least three years to change the texts," said one diplomat.
Things get complicated at the higher level, that of governance and coordination of economic policies. Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy are trying to get their act together to approach the next EU summit in Brussels nine days. Herman Van Rompuy will also make proposals.
The Chancellor visited in March to the idea of an "economic government" European defended by the Elysee.But rather than open a new institutional construction, Berlin thinks first to impose its partners "stability culture" as a model.
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Next Monday, the faithful love of cinema to UGC will learn about PeopleForCinema, the start-up created six months ago by Simon and Serge Hayat Istolainen on MyMajorCompany model, the Internet music label.
The giant cinemas and website, which offers users to leverage the distribution of films before their release, have entered into a partnership that should give new impetus to PeopleForCinema.
From Monday, subscribers to the loyalty program and the 250,000 cardholders unlimited branded UGC will be able to invest in a few films chosen by the exhibitor in the catalog PeopleForCinema. "There are many similarities between us and them, says about his partner Jean-Marie Dura, CEO of UGC in network load.One the other as we seek to support the film and provide access to movies very different. "UGC, which publishes a free magazine distributed in its 371 rooms in France, has more than one million unique visitors month on its website.
Through this agreement, the UGC will provide start-up its roster of clients, and in return will enter the PeopleForCinema network of cinemas in the dance community and participatory payday loan lenders.
"The Whistler" Catalogue
Specifically, users who go from Monday on the website of UGC discover a film catalog PeopleForCinema on which they can invest money. In a few months, when the film will be shown, users who have invested will have their release – pulled in admissions hall – whether the film knows only limited success.However, if it contains a triumph, they will receive a share of profits. UGC, in turn, affect a small share of revenues, calculated by the number of Internet users from its own network. This partnership is timely for the participatory website, which has not yet found its success. The Whistler – first catalog – has recorded only 330 000 entries, 440 000 and Brothers, which does not affect profits. Its founders have now on the next film by Bertrand Blier, The Sound of ice, including Jean Dujardin, Albert Dupontel share the bill.
If confirmed, this would be the heaviest fine ever imposed by the U.S. National Highway Safety Agency (NHTSA) to a manufacturer. This requires the Japanese Toyota fined 16.375 million dollars (12.191 million euros). A record amount justified, she said, by the slow reaction of the manufacturer's faults found and deliberately concealed its vehicles.
The U.S. government accuses him of hiding Toyota for "at least four months' issues of accelerators is jamming in the down position, and this" contempt of risk "led to drivers. According to the Minister of Transport Ray LaHood, the leaders of Toyota "did not take steps to protect millions of drivers and their families."
Toyota has two weeks to pay the fine or contest it.If he refuses to pay and can not agree with NHTSA, the matter will be referred to a court.
Procedural defects
The NHTSA had opened an investigation last February 16 to see if Toyota had been slow to reveal these problems, finds a first time Toyota has not notified within five days after discovery of problems, as the law The imposed.
According to the U.S. Department of Transportation (DoT), the 70,000 pages of documents presented by Toyota have revealed that the manufacturer "knew his problems pedals are jamming on their own since at least September 29.It was at that date that Toyota "has launched repair procedures with its distributors from 31 European countries and Canada to address issues accelerator stuck, sudden increase and tachometer sudden acceleration of the vehicle, "says the report.
But the documents show that "Toyota knew that consumers in the United States suffered the same problems as those in Europe and Canada.Yet, September 29, the band announced the recall of 3.8 million vehicles in the U.S. claiming only the possibility that the accelerator pedal gets stuck in the floor mat and ignoring the problems of blocking pedals 'themselves in position.
It was not until January 21 that the manufacturer recalls 2.3 million vehicles in the U.S., reported first involuntary acceleration unconnected mats but the pedals are blocking themselves . In the end, Toyota has recalled more than 6 million vehicles in the U.S. on 9 million recalled in the world.Either the largest recall ever recorded by an automaker.
Organizational Change
In a statement, Toyota has defended: "We have already taken a significant number of measures to improve our communication with regulators and clients on security issues and strengthened our commitment to quality." This includes "the appointment of a new director of quality in North America and a greater role dedicated to regional leaders in the decision making process related to quality," says the manufacturer.
But the DOT has not said its last word. He announced as still investigating to determine if the manufacturer had "committed other offenses meriting further sanctions."
Reminders continue
Meanwhile, Toyota continues its recall campaign.The Japanese announced Tuesday its intention to recall 12,984 vehicles sold in South Korea because of mats may impede the accelerator pedal.
The three models involved are the Lexus ES350, Camry and Camry Hybrid. Motorists concerned will receive free repairs from April 19.
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